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Two Cusp Variations

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Sunday, 19 November 2017, at 6:28 p.m.

In Response To: Holding Game Cube (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 124 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 107 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--CbDCC----Ba-a--bbbbb--:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	75.81% (G:5.54% B:0.09%)	76.24% (G:5.27% B:0.08%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	24.19% (G:1.91% B:0.04%)	23.76% (G:1.84% B:0.03%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.553	+1.119
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.914 (-0.079)	±0.003 (+0.911..+0.916)
Double/Take:	+0.992	±0.003 (+0.989..+0.996)
Double/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.008)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 101 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 39 minutes 43 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 106 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 107 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--CbDCC----B-----bbbbbb-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	69.27% (G:6.60% B:0.21%)	69.43% (G:6.75% B:0.21%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	30.73% (G:2.18% B:0.03%)	30.57% (G:2.15% B:0.02%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.431	+0.873
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.706	±0.003 (+0.703..+0.709)
Double/Take:	+0.694 (-0.012)	±0.004 (+0.690..+0.698)
Double/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.294)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 3.8%
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 101 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 28 minutes 05 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• Holding Game Cube
  Stick -- Saturday, 18 November 2017, at 11:10 p.m.
  • Holding Game Cube
    mamabear -- Sunday, 19 November 2017, at 1:34 a.m.
  • Holding Game Cube
    David Rennie -- Sunday, 19 November 2017, at 5:24 a.m.
  • Holding Game Cube
    Casper Van der Tak -- Sunday, 19 November 2017, at 6:49 a.m.
  • Two Cusp Variations
    Paul Weaver -- Sunday, 19 November 2017, at 6:28 p.m.
    • Two Cusp Variations
      Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 19 November 2017, at 10:18 p.m.
  • Holding Game Cube
    neilkaz -- Monday, 20 November 2017, at 12:57 a.m.
  • Holding Game Cube - ++ + Variant
    Stick -- Monday, 20 November 2017, at 11:14 a.m.
    • Holding Game Cube - ++ + Variants (two or three on 3pt)
      Nack Ballard -- Monday, 20 November 2017, at 8:25 p.m.
  • Holding Game Cube
    ah_clem -- Monday, 20 November 2017, at 5:53 p.m.