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OLM Sunday Dec. 31st - XG Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 3 January 2018, at 5:06 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Sunday Dec. 31st (Stick)

A modern rollout is more in line GNU's original rollout rather than Snowie's. Maybe it has to do with the METs being used at the time or the fact that Snowie didn't have checker play AtS or perhaps Bot A is stronger than Bot B in playing this out. Who knows but fwiw here's an XG rollout for comparison.





White is Player 1

score: 4
pip: 152
25 point match
pip: 147
score: 7

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-a-a--EBC-A-cB--ab-dab-A-A:0:0:-1:00:4:7:0:25:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67.66% (G:31.74% B:1.76%) 67.74% (G:33.16% B:1.84%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.34% (G:7.97% B:0.44%) 32.26% (G:8.32% B:0.46%)
Cubeless Equities +0.613 +1.246
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.791 (-0.136)±0.013 (+0.777..+0.804)
Double/Take:+0.927±0.019 (+0.908..+0.946)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.073)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 70735004
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 8 minutes 50 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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