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pvp 2-1 - RO and questions

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Monday, 8 January 2018, at 10:27 p.m.

In Response To: pvp 2-1 (Karol Szczerek)

How would you explain the difference in top plays? I tend to think that in diagram A, the timing is close (we got 1 more back, which is 20 pips more), so we should focus on prime vs prime and play purely. In diagram B we got worse timing, so we should focus more on escaping than prime vs prime, hence play with no blots right now and hope for a 6 next turn. Is it that "simple"? What would be your process of judging any of these positions OTB?

Diagram A




White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 120
Unlimited Game
pip: 137
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BDBBAB----c-bbcbbB---:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 21

1.Rollout110/9 6/4eq: +0,054
Player:
Opponent:
53,97% (G:8,66% B:0,29%)
46,03% (G:15,12% B:0,61%)
Conf.: ± 0,010 (+0,045...+0,064) - [100,0%]
Duration: 17 minutes 21 seconds
2.Rollout110/9 10/8eq: +0,020 (-0,034)
Player:
Opponent:
51,67% (G:8,62% B:0,30%)
48,33% (G:11,87% B:0,37%)
Conf.: ± 0,009 (+0,011...+0,029) - [0,0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 49 seconds
3.Rollout29/7 6/5eq: -0,081 (-0,135)
Player:
Opponent:
48,03% (G:7,55% B:0,25%)
51,97% (G:10,06% B:0,34%)
Conf.: ± 0,016 (-0,097...-0,064) - [0,0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 42 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Diagram B




White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 129
Unlimited Game
pip: 137
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BDBBAB-c----bbcbbB---:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 21

1.Rollout110/9 10/8eq: -0,115
Player:
Opponent:
47,53% (G:10,24% B:0,33%)
52,47% (G:11,85% B:0,46%)
Conf.: ± 0,009 (-0,124...-0,105) - [100,0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 11 seconds
2.Rollout110/9 6/4eq: -0,145 (-0,031)
Player:
Opponent:
47,23% (G:10,13% B:0,36%)
52,77% (G:14,58% B:0,57%)
Conf.: ± 0,011 (-0,156...-0,135) - [0,0%]
Duration: 17 minutes 43 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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