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Coming in against a backgame

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Friday, 12 January 2018, at 11:15 p.m.

In Response To: Coming in against a backgame (Michael)

Huh? Here's 33 after Blue's best rolls of 11 or 31 making a 5 prime.

Nearly an entire generation of players is growing up to undervalue many backgames because bots do.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 205
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 78
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-cdBCDCBA---------abbc----:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 59.901% (G:37.033% B:13.170%) 58.928% (G:35.894% B:13.283%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.099% (G:1.001% B:0.036%) 41.072% (G:0.897% B:0.039%)
Cubeless Equities +0.6897 +1.3219
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.8348 (-0.1087)±0.0186 (+0.8162..+0.8534)
Double/Take:+0.9435±0.0333 (+0.9102..+0.9768)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.0565)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 minute 51 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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