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From Vegas - how would you decide on Cube here?

Posted By: Grant Hoffman
Date: Tuesday, 17 April 2018, at 7:11 a.m.

A friend had the below position in the recent Vegas tournament. What formula would you use to decide on the cube decision and how would you alter it to get the correct action at this score 3 away 2 away - Especially the Take or Pass?





White is Player 2

score: 7
pip: 74
9 point match
pip: 69
score: 6

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBCCD------A-----feb----:0:0:-1:00:7:6:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 73.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 73.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 26.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.465 +0.970
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.794 (-0.176)±0.001 (+0.793..+0.795)
Double/Take:+0.970±0.000 (+0.970..+0.970)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.030)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 13.1 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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