These are the type of things that tilt me. I was on the outside here being cubed as the team. I was off getting food not really paying attention to the game. As I was walking back over they were almost resetting the board. I got in my 'Hold on a second' just in time. Three players had confidently dropped, I looked for about 10 seconds and took. Then these three genius players all offered me an extra, which I took of course. I wasn't 100% confident it was a take but I was 100% confident it could be a take and at worse it was close in which case playing it out against someone who will play it out worse than I will will turn it into a take.
As any backgammon story of this type goes, all the fish were rewarded as I got gammoned.
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| XGID=----bCBBD---b---bb-cbAbBA-:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 68.44% (G:28.12% B:1.99%) | 68.55% (G:28.84% B:2.03%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 31.56% (G:6.60% B:0.36%) | 31.45% (G:6.83% B:0.40%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.600 | +1.215 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No double: | +0.806 (-0.159) | ±0.012 (+0.794..+0.818) |
| Double/Take: | +0.965 | ±0.021 (+0.945..+0.986) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.035) | |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 4740718 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Duration: 8 minutes 41 seconds | ||
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10