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BGonline.org Forums
Latest Over the Board MET
Posted By: jdg
Date: Thursday, 12 June 2008, at 2:49 p.m.
I copied and paste this table years ago to learn for over the board play. Is this still accurate? Or has the latest bot findings altered this substantially?
jdg
__2____3_______4______5____ doubler
2|32|29-29,46|20-20,99|20-20,70|
3|25|23-30,48|20-23,95|22-26,71|
4|18|21-35,44|17-25,89|20-26,68|
5|22|19-29,45|19-26,74|16-25,59|
taker
This contains information about live and dead cube takepoints at different scores, and the gammonprices. As an example take the -4,-3 entry (you need 4 points, your opponent needs 3 points to win the match). It says: |21-35,44|.
If your opponent cubes you, you need 35% winningchances to take. But's if you don't take the value of cubeownership into consideration. If you do, and assume always perfect recubes, you only need 21% to win. Both the 21 and 35 is theoretical, and in practice your takepoint is somewhere in between.
The 44 is your gammonprice. It's how expensive it is for you to lose a gammon after you've accepted a cube. You should add 44% of your chances of losing gammon to your takepoint. The number you get is the % of total wins you need to take. If you have a chance of winning gammon, you should check out your opponents gammonprice and subtract the number you get from your takepoint.
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