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Rolling home a prime with XG (part 2)

Posted By: David Levy
Date: Tuesday, 18 September 2018, at 9:09 p.m.

Part 1 is here.

Part 2 asks for cube action in this position:





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 70
9 point match
pip: 123
score: 2

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BCBBD--A---a-bbbbbbAb----:1:-1:-1:00:1:2:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Let me share XG Roller+ for starters:





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 70
9 point match
pip: 123
score: 2

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BCBBD--A---a-bbbbbbAb----:1:-1:-1:00:1:2:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+ No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 75.88% (G:3.95% B:0.16%) 54.78% (G:3.21% B:0.08%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 24.12% (G:6.36% B:0.01%) 45.22% (G:18.62% B:0.04%)
Cubeless Equities +0.489 -0.254
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.653
Redouble/Take:-0.481 (-1.134)
xg Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.347)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 43.4%

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Okay, XG Roller++ too:





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 70
9 point match
pip: 123
score: 2

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BCBBD--A---a-bbbbbbAb----:1:-1:-1:00:1:2:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 76.35% (G:3.80% B:0.06%) 69.64% (G:4.23% B:0.15%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.65% (G:6.23% B:0.02%) 30.36% (G:10.76% B:0.03%)
Cubeless Equities +0.497 +0.582
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.693
Redouble/Take:+0.415 (-0.278)
xg Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.307)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 32.2%

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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