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62 at DMP -- ROLLOUT and VARIANTS

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 28 March 2019, at 5:59 p.m.

In Response To: OTB & RO (John O'Hagan)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 167 1 point match pip: 125 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aa-CBCaB--AdB--Bb-db-----:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 62

1.	Rollout1	8/2* 4/2	eq: +0.488
	Player: Opponent: 74.40% (G:52.59% B:6.88%) 25.60% (G:4.07% B:0.42%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.483...+0.493) - [100.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 38 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/7* 4/2*	eq: +0.454 (-0.034)
	Player: Opponent: 72.69% (G:47.83% B:10.12%) 27.31% (G:5.17% B:0.80%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.448...+0.460) - [0.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 44 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/7* 7/5	eq: +0.429 (-0.059)
	Player: Opponent: 71.47% (G:47.23% B:8.67%) 28.53% (G:3.86% B:0.40%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.424...+0.435) - [0.0%] Duration: 9 minutes 53 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

John's rollout of his original position appears above.

There are two variants below. Among the three positions, three different best plays are covered.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 155 1 point match pip: 125 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aa-CBCaB--AbB--Bbbdb-----:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:1:10
Variant 1 (Two of White's 13pt spares are on her 7pt)

1.	Rollout1	13/7* 4/2*	eq: +0.443
	Player: Opponent: 72.15% (G:44.16% B:9.14%) 27.85% (G:6.28% B:0.84%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.440...+0.446) - [100.0%] Duration: 32 minutes 29 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/2* 4/2	eq: +0.435 (-0.008)
	Player: Opponent: 71.76% (G:45.14% B:6.41%) 28.24% (G:4.83% B:0.52%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.433...+0.438) - [0.0%] Duration: 26 minutes 04 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/7* 7/5	eq: +0.425 (-0.018)
	Player: Opponent: 71.27% (G:42.39% B:6.95%) 28.73% (G:4.75% B:0.48%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.423...+0.428) - [0.0%] Duration: 28 minutes 57 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 33595441 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 153 1 point match pip: 125 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aa-CBCaB--AdB--B--bbbb---:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:1:10
Variant 2 (White has made her 4pt and 3pt)

1.	Rollout1	13/7* 7/5	eq: +0.340
	Player: Opponent: 67.02% (G:35.70% B:6.06%) 32.98% (G:6.71% B:0.95%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.338...+0.343) - [99.9%] Duration: 24 minutes 15 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/2* 4/2	eq: +0.334 (-0.006)
	Player: Opponent: 66.72% (G:39.08% B:6.28%) 33.28% (G:7.82% B:1.02%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.332...+0.337) - [0.1%] Duration: 20 minutes 28 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/7* 4/2*	eq: +0.318 (-0.022)
	Player: Opponent: 65.91% (G:36.29% B:7.13%) 34.09% (G:11.87% B:2.76%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.315...+0.321) - [0.0%] Duration: 22 minutes 39 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 33595441 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• 62 at DMP
  John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 26 March 2019, at 10:03 p.m.
  • 62 at DMP
    Karol Szczerek -- Wednesday, 27 March 2019, at 7:15 a.m.
    • 62 at DMP
      Casper Van der Tak -- Wednesday, 27 March 2019, at 7:57 a.m.
  • 62 at DMP
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 27 March 2019, at 8:30 p.m.
  • OTB & RO
    John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 28 March 2019, at 5:10 p.m.
    • 62 at DMP -- ROLLOUT and VARIANTS
      Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 28 March 2019, at 5:59 p.m.
    • OTB & RO
      Alex21 -- Sunday, 31 March 2019, at 2:26 p.m.