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Obviously correct play assessed as double whopper by XGR+

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 23 May 2019, at 1:39 p.m.

Of course there are many positions meeting the description in the subject line, but I don't recall seeing this phenomenon for this type of position before—at least, not reproducibly. I'm curious as to whether others can reproduce this result. Note: I believe that XGR+ uses a hash of the position to seed its random number generator, so it might make a difference that the score is 6-6 to 7 as opposed to some other DMP score.




XGR+:





White is Player 1

score: 6
pip: 166
7 point match
pip: 35
score: 6

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-----AD-C----D-----AcBbed-:0:0:-1:51:6:6:0:7:10
Blue to play 51

1.XG Roller+5/Off 3/2eq: +1.135
Player:
Opponent:
96.30% (G:94.93% B:0.00%)
3.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller+5/Off 1/Offeq: +0.940 (-0.195)
Player:
Opponent:
96.78% (G:95.35% B:0.00%)
3.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller+5/Off 2/1eq: +0.931 (-0.203)
Player:
Opponent:
96.57% (G:95.19% B:0.00%)
3.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2



Rollout:





White is Player 1

score: 6
pip: 166
7 point match
pip: 35
score: 6

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-----AD-C----D-----AcBbed-:0:0:-1:51:6:6:0:7:10
Blue to play 51

1.Rollout15/Off 1/Offeq: +0.932
Player:
Opponent:
96.62% (G:95.47% B:0.15%)
3.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.931...+0.933) - [100.0%]
Duration: 33.0 seconds
2.Rollout15/Off 2/1eq: +0.927 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:
96.34% (G:95.35% B:0.16%)
3.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.926...+0.928) - [0.0%]
Duration: 32.7 seconds
3.Rollout15/Off 3/2eq: +0.922 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:
96.11% (G:94.97% B:0.15%)
3.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.921...+0.923) - [0.0%]
Duration: 32.5 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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