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4-1 to play ROLLOUT and VARIANT

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 28 July 2019, at 8:23 a.m.

In Response To: 4-1 to play ROLLOUT (ah_clem)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 68 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 73 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ACCBBB--A--b-----Aacbbbc-:0:0:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.	Rollout1	18/17 9/5	eq: -0.270
	Player: Opponent: 40.26% (G:1.54% B:0.03%) 59.74% (G:0.72% B:0.01%) Conf.: � 0.006 (-0.276...-0.264) - [100.0%] Duration: 8.7 seconds
2.	Rollout1	9/4	eq: -0.346 (-0.076)
	Player: Opponent: 35.78% (G:1.48% B:0.05%) 64.22% (G:0.62% B:0.01%) Conf.: � 0.009 (-0.355...-0.337) - [0.0%] Duration: 15.7 seconds
3.	Rollout1	9/5 2/1	eq: -0.352 (-0.082)
	Player: Opponent: 36.60% (G:1.66% B:0.05%) 63.40% (G:0.59% B:0.01%) Conf.: � 0.006 (-0.358...-0.346) - [0.0%] Duration: 10.2 seconds
4.	Rollout1	18/17 5/1	eq: -0.379 (-0.109)
	Player: Opponent: 35.34% (G:1.66% B:0.04%) 64.66% (G:1.64% B:0.03%) Conf.: � 0.008 (-0.388...-0.371) - [0.0%] Duration: 16.0 seconds
5.	Rollout1	18/13	eq: -0.492 (-0.222)
	Player: Opponent: 32.73% (G:0.26% B:0.01%) 67.27% (G:0.60% B:0.01%) Conf.: � 0.010 (-0.501...-0.482) - [0.0%] Duration: 10.9 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is ahclem's rollout of his original position.

Below is a cusp variant.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 66 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 73 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ACCBBB--A--b-----Aac-dbc-:0:0:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
Variant (White's 4pt checkers are moved to her 3pt)

1.	Rollout1	9/5 2/1	eq: -0.160
	Player: Opponent: 45.52% (G:3.17% B:0.11%) 54.48% (G:0.18% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.162...-0.157) - [79.7%] Duration: 1 minute 45 seconds
2.	Rollout1	18/17 9/5	eq: -0.161 (-0.001)
	Player: Opponent: 46.00% (G:2.54% B:0.07%) 54.00% (G:0.27% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.164...-0.159) - [20.3%] Duration: 1 minute 30 seconds
3.	Rollout2	9/4	eq: -0.185 (-0.025)
	Player: Opponent: 44.54% (G:2.66% B:0.09%) 55.46% (G:0.29% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.188...-0.182) - [0.0%] Duration: 39.5 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 99758728 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 99758728 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• 4-1 to play
  ah_clem -- Tuesday, 16 July 2019, at 3:37 p.m.
  • 4-1 to play
    Karol Szczerek -- Tuesday, 16 July 2019, at 7:55 p.m.
    • 4-1 to play
      Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 16 July 2019, at 10:50 p.m.
      • 4-1 to play
        Stick -- Wednesday, 17 July 2019, at 8:10 a.m.
        • 4-1 to play
          Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 18 July 2019, at 11:10 p.m.
      • 4-1 to play
        Casper Van der Tak -- Thursday, 18 July 2019, at 7:35 a.m.
        • 4-1 to play
          Casper Van der Tak -- Thursday, 18 July 2019, at 7:41 a.m.
  • 4-1 to play ROLLOUT
    ah_clem -- Thursday, 25 July 2019, at 3:07 p.m.
    • 4-1 to play ROLLOUT and VARIANT
      Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 28 July 2019, at 8:23 a.m.