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Should Blue hit now?

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 30 October 2023, at 2:54 a.m.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 162
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 132
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aa-B-D-C--BdCaA-c-cb-----:1:-1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 61

First, look at the position below, copied from Stick's recent post. He wrote, "I didn't include hitting [in the rollout] because it's a double whopper."

Now, look at the position above, which contains one teensy change: I moved one of Blue's 15pt checkers to his 6pt.

Should Blue hit now?

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 162
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 141
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aa-B-C-C--BdCaB-c-cb-----:1:-1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.Rollout113/7 8/7eq: +0.537
Player:
Opponent:
74.64% (G:16.84% B:0.50%)
25.36% (G:4.13% B:0.17%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.532...+0.542) - [100.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 51 seconds
2.Rollout111/5 6/5eq: +0.520 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:
74.23% (G:16.24% B:0.57%)
25.77% (G:4.19% B:0.16%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.514...+0.525) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 56 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 97859455
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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