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PotD 11-11-23 - VARIANT and Rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 2 December 2023, at 2:26 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 11-11-23 - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 151
1 point match
pip: 93
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aaBaCBDBAb------a-abbAbb--:0:0:1:64:0:0:0:1:10
Original position

1.Rollout17/3* 7/1* eq: +0.537
Player:
Opponent:
76.83% (G:67.14% B:9.69%)
23.17% (G:7.25% B:1.81%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.532...+0.542) - [99.9%]
Duration: 1 minute 27 seconds
2.Rollout121/17 7/1* eq: +0.526 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:
76.32% (G:64.62% B:6.65%)
23.68% (G:7.56% B:1.44%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.522...+0.530) - [0.1%]
Duration: 1 minute 33 seconds
3.Rollout18/4 7/1* eq: +0.523 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:
76.14% (G:65.88% B:8.20%)
23.86% (G:5.23% B:0.83%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.519...+0.527) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 39 seconds
4.Rollout121/11eq: +0.522 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:
76.12% (G:55.68% B:9.19%)
23.88% (G:2.92% B:0.33%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.518...+0.527) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 39 seconds
5.Rollout121/17 8/2eq: +0.516 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:
75.78% (G:56.13% B:6.09%)
24.22% (G:2.20% B:0.11%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.511...+0.520) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 47 seconds
6.Rollout121/15 8/4eq: +0.510 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:
75.49% (G:54.96% B:7.83%)
24.51% (G:2.13% B:0.16%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.505...+0.514) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 40 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 11071294
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Stick's rollout of the original position is above.

My rollout of a variant is below.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 147
1 point match
pip: 93
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aaBaCBDBAb------a-abbA-bb-:0:0:1:64:0:0:0:1:10
Variant (White owns her 1pt instead of her 3pt)

1.Rollout121/17 8/2eq: +0.632
Player:
Opponent:
81.59% (G:59.31% B:7.84%)
18.41% (G:1.07% B:0.01%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.629...+0.635) - [100.0%]
Duration: 28 minutes 00 second
2.Rollout121/15 8/4eq: +0.624 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:
81.22% (G:56.70% B:7.88%)
18.78% (G:1.16% B:0.02%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.621...+0.627) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 50 seconds
3.Rollout121/11eq: +0.620 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:
80.98% (G:57.55% B:7.92%)
19.02% (G:2.29% B:0.02%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.617...+0.623) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 10 seconds
4.Rollout28/4 7/1* eq: +0.606 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:
80.28% (G:68.19% B:8.35%)
19.72% (G:4.04% B:0.09%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.602...+0.609) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 20 seconds
5.Rollout27/3* 7/1* eq: +0.603 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:
80.13% (G:68.97% B:11.62%)
19.87% (G:6.51% B:0.21%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.598...+0.607) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 57 seconds
6.Rollout221/17 7/1* eq: +0.598 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:
79.90% (G:67.35% B:6.73%)
20.10% (G:6.88% B:0.27%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.594...+0.602) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 49 seconds
7.Rollout27/1* 6/2eq: +0.587 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:
79.33% (G:68.13% B:8.11%)
20.67% (G:6.18% B:0.32%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.582...+0.591) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 25 seconds
8.Rollout28/2 7/3* eq: +0.572 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:
78.60% (G:64.99% B:14.12%)
21.40% (G:4.15% B:0.13%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.568...+0.577) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 44 seconds
9.Rollout221/15 7/3* eq: +0.569 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:
78.44% (G:61.85% B:12.01%)
21.56% (G:6.87% B:0.26%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.565...+0.573) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 47 seconds
10.Rollout221/15 6/2eq: +0.562 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:
78.10% (G:56.57% B:9.05%)
21.90% (G:2.90% B:0.03%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.558...+0.566) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 06 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 90278013
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 90278013
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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