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Position of the Day 04-13-24 - Stack or Spread - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 6 May 2024, at 11:16 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 04-13-24 - Stack or Spread (Stick)

Even with no direct covers for the opponent's five point it's still correct to play safe. Leaving the blot in the outfield just isn't that big of a gain. See variant below.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 89
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 86
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--CbBCC-B--AA------cabbcb-:1:-1:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.Rollout112/8 11/8eq: +0.469
Player:
Opponent:		76.40% (G:2.24% B:0.02%)
23.60% (G:0.23% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.465...+0.474) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4.5 seconds
2.Rollout111/4eq: +0.427 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:		74.17% (G:4.44% B:0.12%)
25.83% (G:0.64% B:0.01%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.424...+0.431) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4.2 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Variant
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 87
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 86
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--CbBCC-B--AA------bacbcb-:1:-1:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.Rollout112/8 11/8eq: +0.443
Player:
Opponent:		75.39% (G:2.72% B:0.04%)
24.61% (G:0.28% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.440...+0.447) - [89.2%]
Duration: 9.8 seconds
2.Rollout111/4eq: +0.441 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		74.26% (G:5.34% B:0.15%)
25.74% (G:0.61% B:0.01%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.437...+0.444) - [10.8%]
Duration: 11.0 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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