Variant 1: move a checker from the 23 to the 22 to get rid of white's homeboard blots. Doesn't change much of anything.
        
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 123 | | 5 point match | pip: 110
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--BBBbB-C---cB-B-a-cb-b-b-:0:0:1:22:0:0:0:5:10 |
| Blue to play 22 |
| 1. | XG Roller++ | 15/13(2) 8/6 3/1 | eq: +0.520 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 68.00% (G:2.06% B:0.05%)
32.00% (G:1.78% B:0.02%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | 15/13(2) 8/4 | eq: +0.511 (-0.009) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 67.63% (G:1.78% B:0.03%)
32.37% (G:1.66% B:0.02%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller++ | 15/13(2) 8/6 4/2 | eq: +0.493 (-0.027) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 67.12% (G:1.76% B:0.03%)
32.88% (G:1.80% B:0.02%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller++ | 15/13(2) 3/1(2) | eq: +0.489 (-0.031) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 66.87% (G:1.92% B:0.05%)
33.13% (G:2.00% B:0.02%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller++ | 15/13(2) 4/2 3/1 | eq: +0.470 (-0.050) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 66.22% (G:2.03% B:0.03%)
33.78% (G:2.33% B:0.03%) | |
|
| 6. | XG Roller++ | 13/9(2) | eq: +0.427 (-0.093) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 64.12% (G:3.86% B:0.09%)
35.88% (G:3.42% B:0.06%) | |
|
| 7. | XG Roller++ | 15/11(2) | eq: +0.406 (-0.114) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 64.26% (G:3.57% B:0.14%)
35.74% (G:4.02% B:0.04%) | |
|
| 8. | XG Roller++ | 13/11(2) 8/6 3/1 | eq: +0.276 (-0.244) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.77% (G:5.22% B:0.14%)
40.23% (G:6.18% B:0.11%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Variant 2: move a bunch of white's checkers to make the race about even - the blocking play is the right idea with an even race, with the nine point clearly better than the eleven. And stacking the midpoint is a whopper.
 
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 109 | | 5 point match | pip: 110
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--BBBbB-C---bB-B---cbbaab-:0:0:1:22:0:0:0:5:10 |
| Blue to play 22 |
| 1. | XG Roller++ | 13/9(2) | eq: +0.293 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.28% (G:3.79% B:0.16%)
40.72% (G:3.18% B:0.04%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | 15/11(2) | eq: +0.245 (-0.048) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 58.01% (G:3.05% B:0.21%)
41.99% (G:3.39% B:0.03%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller++ | 13/11(2) 8/4 | eq: +0.227 (-0.066) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 57.19% (G:4.19% B:0.16%)
42.81% (G:5.15% B:0.06%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller++ | 15/13(2) 8/4 | eq: +0.195 (-0.098) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.48% (G:2.10% B:0.11%)
43.52% (G:2.19% B:0.02%) | |
|
| 5. | 3-ply | 15/13(2) 8/6 3/1 | eq: +0.186 (-0.107) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.95% (G:1.79% B:0.02%)
43.05% (G:2.48% B:0.01%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2