
              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 165 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 140 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-cBB--C-A---dE-A---ccb--A-:0:0:1:51:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue blot on 15pt |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/23 13/8 | eq: +0.053 |
| Player: Opponent: | 50.84% (G:18.48% B:1.84%) 49.16% (G:17.93% B:0.71%) | Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.036...+0.071) - [99.6%] Duration: 20 minutes 36 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/23 15/10 | eq: +0.020 (-0.033) |
| Player: Opponent: | 50.29% (G:19.03% B:2.05%) 49.71% (G:19.28% B:0.82%) | Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.003...+0.038) - [0.4%] Duration: 21 minutes 23 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 15/14 13/8 | eq: +0.006 (-0.047) |
| Player: Opponent: | 50.09% (G:17.22% B:1.68%) 49.91% (G:17.80% B:0.73%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.009...+0.021) - [0.0%] Duration: 23 minutes 27 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 15/9 | eq: -0.008 (-0.061) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.65% (G:17.81% B:1.67%) 50.35% (G:18.41% B:0.85%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.024...+0.007) - [0.0%] Duration: 23 minutes 03 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 43316907 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
In the original position of this thread, Blue owns his 5pt. In the variants of this post, Blue instead owns his 3pt.
Variant 1 differs from Variant 2 by 1 pip. Instead of Blue's blot in the upper right being on his 15pt (above), it is on his 16pt (below). This difference makes all the difference in whether Blue should cover his 8pt.
Nack

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 165 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 141 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-cBB--C-A---dE--A--ccb--A-:0:0:1:51:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue blot on 16pt |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/23 16/11 | eq: +0.050 |
| Player: Opponent: | 50.91% (G:19.05% B:2.04%) 49.09% (G:18.73% B:0.94%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.034...+0.067) - [100.0%] Duration: 21 minutes 29 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/23 13/8 | eq: +0.005 (-0.046) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.98% (G:18.51% B:1.93%) 50.02% (G:19.00% B:0.76%) | Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.013...+0.022) - [0.0%] Duration: 20 minutes 57 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 16/10 | eq: -0.022 (-0.073) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.42% (G:18.25% B:1.84%) 50.58% (G:18.96% B:0.91%) | Conf.: ± 0.019 (-0.041...-0.003) - [0.0%] Duration: 22 minutes 20 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 16/15 13/8 | eq: -0.028 (-0.079) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.57% (G:17.39% B:1.65%) 50.43% (G:18.78% B:0.79%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.045...-0.012) - [0.0%] Duration: 22 minutes 09 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 9755988 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|