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So easy ? - Rollout and side question for Nack

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 8 December 2024, at 10:09 p.m.

In Response To: So easy ? - Rollout and side question for Nack (pierrez)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 99
5 point match
pip: 76
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBEaBB-----A-d----bbAbbb-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:5:10
Blue to play 21

1.XG Roller++12/11 3/1eq: +0.063
Player:
Opponent:
51.91% (G:4.19% B:0.03%)
48.09% (G:6.54% B:0.16%)
2.XG Roller++6/5 6/4* eq: -0.011 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:
49.45% (G:8.63% B:0.05%)
50.55% (G:17.42% B:0.91%)
3.XG Roller++3/2 3/1eq: -0.073 (-0.137)
Player:
Opponent:
48.22% (G:5.34% B:0.03%)
51.78% (G:8.43% B:0.20%)
4.XG Roller++5/3 5/4* eq: -0.133 (-0.197)
Player:
Opponent:
47.63% (G:5.70% B:0.04%)
52.37% (G:16.96% B:0.92%)

Is there a position where the duplication of the 7 will be the best move?

I'm not sure how narrow your criteria are. I guess you mean a position similar to the one you posted (otherwise it would be too easy). Above is an example with a similar pipcount.

If yes, can this position be reached by playing best moves?

Certainly. I used to retrofit (from the opening position, cube position and match score taken into account) much less plausible-seeming situations than this, when I had more time on my hands. :)

The example below is one way the above position might be reached from a more natural-looking position a few rolls earlier:

From there, play out the best moves from this roll sequence (Blue first): 41, 22, 55, 22, 63, 64, 21.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 125
5 point match
pip: 110
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBbBD-C---b-c----b-Bbbb-:0:0:1:41:0:0:0:5:10
Blue to play 41

1.XG Roller++6/1eq: +0.280
Player:
Opponent:
58.36% (G:12.16% B:0.22%)
41.64% (G:7.23% B:0.18%)
2.XG Roller++8/3eq: +0.235 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:
57.17% (G:11.88% B:0.24%)
42.83% (G:7.49% B:0.18%)
3.XG Roller++6/5 6/2eq: +0.234 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:
57.11% (G:11.74% B:0.24%)
42.89% (G:7.94% B:0.18%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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