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Position of the Day 03-30-25 - Can we dig it - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 13 May 2025, at 4:40 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-30-25 - Can we dig it (Stick)

All respondents scooped up this 16 cube! Costly blunder. Positions are tough when we've burned through all our spare checkers. Note how high the gammon losses are for only having one checker back at the edge of a prime without a lot of builders, the stronger board, and a long way to go to get closed out. Obviously we chuck up more blots fairly often.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 58
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-GcBCaB---------bcbbbA----:3:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 75.12% (G:20.87% B:0.63%) 76.46% (G:22.30% B:1.05%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 24.88% (G:14.84% B:0.18%) 23.54% (G:14.40% B:0.13%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.567 +1.235
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.839 (-0.161)±0.017 (+0.822..+0.856)
Redouble/Take:+1.110 (+0.110)±0.036 (+1.073..+1.146)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 minute 04 seconds

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