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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 31 October 2006, at 2:25 p.m.

In Response To: 62S-66B-F-C? (Stick)

As Black Swan said, any net improvement coupled with an opening double 6 makes it a double. Here the only improvement that you've made is that your opponent has made negative improvement! You're shooting at a second blot (3rd if you count the guy on the ace point which you attack in some variations) and have an enormous lead in the race. 25% of your wins are gammons and I consider the position rather volatile. Notice the take isn't even a huge take though seemingly everyone scoops up this cube like they think it's early. Try to picture what happens after the next sequence ... whatever you're imagining isn't Blue's position quite sound? Huge double, unhappy take, one to remember.

Money Game
Blue on roll. Cube Action?

166
143
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

Cube action equity
Rollout	Money equity:	0.574
	1.4% 24.7% 68.9% 31.1% 6.3% 0.3%
	95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.574 ±0.013. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 35724 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
1.	Double, take	0.921
2.	No double	0.811	(-0.110)
3.	Double, pass	1.000	(+0.079)
Proper cube action: Double, take

Messages In This Thread

• 62S-66B-F-C?
  Stick -- Friday, 27 October 2006, at 10:33 a.m.
  • Re: Opening 6-2, 6-6, dance
    Ian Shaw -- Friday, 27 October 2006, at 4:33 p.m.
  • Re: Opening 6-2, 6-6, dance
    Black Swan -- Saturday, 28 October 2006, at 12:35 a.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 31 October 2006, at 2:25 p.m.
  • 62S-66B-F-C - XG Rollout
    Stick -- Saturday, 15 February 2014, at 5:20 a.m.
    • 62S-66B-F-C — Jacoby, No Beavers — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Monday, 17 February 2014, at 7:37 p.m.
    • 62S-66B-F-C — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Monday, 17 February 2014, at 7:53 p.m.
    • 62S-66B-F-C — Index to Rollouts
      Taper_Mike -- Monday, 17 February 2014, at 8:01 p.m.