Rollout

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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 5 November 2006, at 4:53 p.m.

In Response To: 41S-54S-42? (Stick)

First off let's toss some plays out of the equation. The loose hit, 9/5 13/11. Honestly wouldn't be the most destructive play I've ever made in my life, it fights for the five point early in the game but makes no tangible improvements. It is contingent on your opponent missing all those blots you're shuffling around. It was easy for me to eliminate this play in the face of other plays that make a definite improvement.
Between 13/9 23/21 & 13/9 24/22 the former has to get the nod because of its strive for the most advanced anchor and the duplication of fours, so we can safely toss out 24/22 13/9.
That brings us to the two plays I rolled out and I'm mildly surprised the difference between the plays is so huge. What making the 4 pt. does is put pressure on your opponent to roll an immediate 4 or try to withstand the upcoming attack that will occur if he doesn't. Another plus side of making the 4 pt. is watching your opponent misplay a following 4-2 or 4-3. Small 'easter egg' bonuses that I like finding in the opening moves where your opponent may have rolled a good number but it's almost wasted since he doesn't know how to play it.
I don't feel like typing anymore...so do your own evaluation lol
Money Game
158
162

Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity

1 R 8/4 6/4 0.054

0.7% 15.1% 51.1% 48.9% 13.0% 0.6%

95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.042 ą0.006. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 176708 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.

2 R 23/21 13/9 -0.003 (-0.058)

0.5% 11.6% 50.1% 49.9% 12.0% 0.4%

95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.003 ą0.006. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 177396 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.

Money Game
158
162
Board image courtesy of *GO-Figure*

Messages In This Thread

41S-54S-42?
Stick -- Monday, 30 October 2006, at 4:29 p.m.
- Re: Opening 4-1(split), 5-4 (misplay), 4-2
  Ian Shaw -- Tuesday, 31 October 2006, at 2:58 p.m.
- Rollout
  Stick -- Sunday, 5 November 2006, at 4:53 p.m.
  - Re: Rollout
    rew -- Saturday, 11 November 2006, at 3:48 p.m.
  - Rollout
    onur alan -- Wednesday, 18 December 2013, at 11:20 a.m.

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#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	8/4 6/4	0.054
			0.7% 15.1% 51.1% 48.9% 13.0% 0.6%
			95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.042 ą0.006. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 176708 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
	2	R	23/21 13/9	-0.003 (-0.058)
			0.5% 11.6% 50.1% 49.9% 12.0% 0.4%
			95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.003 ą0.006. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 177396 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.