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The Kid vs. Kaz

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Tuesday, 2 September 2008, at 7:14 p.m.

Well, let's see how many of these I can remember.

Up 7-3, Neil is stuck on my 1-2 with a checker slotting my 3 and eventually forces me to hit a 6th checker, immediately rolls the 32 and gets himself into a crushed 2-3 game instead of a crushed 1-2 game.

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 3, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 4: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 55

Neil Kazaross157


3X3X '3X ' ' ' '1O ' ' '

1X2X3X2O2O2O2O3O2O1O ' '

Matt Cohn-Geier112

Position ID: dw4AwC3YtlsgAA Match ID: cIk2ATAAOAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves 16/6 10/5 9/4

# Ply Move Equity
1 3 16/1* 10/5 +1.388
0.891 0.437 0.004 - 0.109 0.004 0.000
• 2 3 16/6 10/5 9/4 +1.355 ( -0.033)
0.890 0.411 0.006 - 0.110 0.005 0.000
3 3 16/1* 9/4 +1.351 ( -0.037)
0.884 0.424 0.006 - 0.116 0.006 0.000

I still prefer my play, since I don't like killing a checker and may need spare 4s to play.

Later, same game, after 54, 65, double fives again, and probably some more 5s thrown in there:

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 3, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 9: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 41

Neil Kazaross98


3X3X2X1X '2X '1X ' ' ' '

7O1X5O1X2O ' ' ' '1X ' '

Matt Cohn-Geier32

Position ID: d8sEBBJ/PgMAAA Match ID: cAkmATAAOAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves 5/4*/off

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 5/4*/off +0.942
0.768 0.297 0.001 - 0.232 0.000 0.000
2 2 5/4* 5/1 +0.941 ( -0.001)
0.785 0.264 0.000 - 0.215 0.000 0.000
3 2 5/off +0.742 ( -0.200)
0.750 0.178 0.001 - 0.250 0.000 0.000

I believe that I am already off the G at this point before the roll, so I should have two checkers off after this roll (I believe I had just played a 54: 5/off 5/1). And of course Neil hits me with his best, 5-4, to hit and cover. I dance, Neil rolls 44 (played 23/11 20/16), I dance again, Neil cubes me. I can't possibly be passing. So, instead of me gammoning Neil, he wins the two points I was going for, and we go to gammon save. GNU says it isn't a double, but it looked good to me OTB since if he brings the builders down into his outfield I probably pass, with all my missing 2s. On the other hand the killed checkers on the deuce and the ace don't help Neil here. A rollout might change this one, or maybe not, but there's no way I can pass this cube.

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 3, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 14: Neil Kazaross on roll, cube decision?

Neil Kazaross77


3X3X2X2X '2X ' ' ' '1X '

7O '5O ' ' ' ' '1X1X ' '

Matt Cohn-Geier47

Position ID: fz4AANDdZhAKAA Match ID: MAEgATAAOAAA

• Neil Kazaross doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.082)!

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.241(Money: +0.246)
0.628 0.000 0.000 - 0.372 0.010 0.000
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.411
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.589
3.Double, take +0.329 -0.082
Proper cube action:No double, take (12.2%)

GS, I didn't really want to get 5 checkers back in Neil's home board, but I have to hit him, I figure. I'm not eager to get a cube here but that doesn't mean I can pass it.

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 5, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 27: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 61

Neil Kazaross139


1O '2X '2X3X '3X ' ' '2O

1X ' ' '2O4O1X3O2O ' '3X

Matt Cohn-Geier151

Position ID: zM7BQSCw54YBUA Match ID: cAknAVAAOAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves bar/24 13/7*

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 bar/24 13/7* -0.955
0.430 0.135 0.005 - 0.570 0.221 0.021
2 2 bar/18 -0.988 ( -0.033)
0.439 0.128 0.007 - 0.561 0.237 0.010

Neil immediately hits me on the bar point (with a 36?) and I'm thinking all about how I should have dropped that damn cube, and I roll a 43 to save myself. Neil also picks up the blot on the mid and eventually makes the 9 point, I hit him loose a couple of times to buy time to extricate my checkers and get play in the outfield, and also because I don't have good alternatives. I really don't want 5 checkers in his home board but I can't find 6s or 3s in my dice cup to save my life. There's plenty of those nickels, though:

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 5, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 34: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 55

Neil Kazaross163


1O '2X4O2X2X '2X2X ' ' '

1O1X2X1X3O4O '2O ' ' '1X

Matt Cohn-Geier164

Position ID: zGZDgBbhngHAIw Match ID: UYk2AVAAOAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves 6/1(4)

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 0 6/1(4) -1.321
0.197 0.046 0.001 - 0.803 0.357 0.012

Up until this point I had been pretty calm, but here is where I started visibly shaking. At some point a couple rolls later Munitz says "someone should be writing this down because no one's going to believe it later."

Next roll, I roll a 52 and Neil misses me. Then I have a 43 and a choice between running into the outfield or safetying, and I choose to run out and hit, with the comment "I don't know what to do here". One or two of White's back checkers I think is in my outfield by now, but it's still right to run out and hit, according to GNU eval.

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 5, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 36: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 43

Neil Kazaross161


1O '2X4O2X2X '2X2X '1X '

6O1X2X1X3O ' '1O ' ' ' '

Matt Cohn-Geier137

Position ID: zGYTgBY/HAHAIw Match ID: UQkuAVAAOAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves 21/14*

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 21/14* -1.597
0.162 0.040 0.001 - 0.838 0.460 0.027
2 2 21/18 8/4* -1.635 ( -0.039)
0.154 0.034 0.000 - 0.846 0.471 0.027
3 2 8/1 -1.671 ( -0.074)
0.126 0.027 0.000 - 0.874 0.462 0.015
4 2 8/4*/1 -1.675 ( -0.078)
0.131 0.031 0.000 - 0.869 0.468 0.015

Neil rolls 62, and says "I do". Thanks, Neil.

He also picks up the second blot, points on me on the ace, and things are going just swimmingly for him.

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 5, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 9: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 42

Neil Kazaross128


2X '3X4O3X3X ' ' ' ' ' '

6O '2X1X3O1X ' ' ' ' ' '

Matt Cohn-Geier155

Position ID: c+4AIA0/HADgYQ Match ID: UQkqAVAAOAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves bar/23 bar/21

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 bar/23 bar/21 -1.856
0.120 0.020 0.000 - 0.880 0.548 0.024

I don't remember where any of Neil's outfield checkers were at this point since I haven't had any decisions at all since my 43, but this looks fairly close. He ended up breaking his outside points in order to point on me on the ace, and then tries to make the deuce. I roll a good 42 from the bar though, which reduces my risk of being gammoned to a mere 55%. I'm hoping he'll dance on my two point board for about 27 rolls but he's not cooperating. Luckily he misses me on the deuce point (with a 52?) after I roll my 42 and I FINALLY spring some checkers into the outfield, with a 54 followed by a 51.

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 5, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 38: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 51

Neil Kazaross114


2X '3X4O4X3X1O1O ' ' ' '

6O '2X1X3O ' ' ' ' ' ' '

Matt Cohn-Geier140

Position ID: c94BAA0/HACKBw Match ID: UYkmAVAAOAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves 21/16 17/16

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 21/16 17/16 -1.229
0.216 0.031 0.000 - 0.784 0.331 0.004
2 2 21/16 18/17 -1.275 ( -0.047)
0.211 0.031 0.000 - 0.789 0.349 0.004
3 2 21/15 -1.308 ( -0.079)
0.206 0.029 0.000 - 0.794 0.360 0.005

At this point I'm thinking that I might actually somehow save this thing. But I forgot for a moment how good I was at rolling nickels.

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 5, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 41: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 55

Neil Kazaross104


2X '3X3O4X3X1O '2O ' ' '

6O '1X '3O1X ' ' ' '1X '

Matt Cohn-Geier134

Position ID: c94Bggg/HAATBw Match ID: UYk2AVAAOAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves 16/11*/6*(2)

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 16/11*/6*(2) -0.631
0.382 0.088 0.000 - 0.618 0.197 0.002

I don't know if this makes up for the nightmare 55 I tossed before, but I might, actually, really save this thing. I start bringing everyone around, making my 8 point again, then I make my 3 point, and finally I start bearing off in a position eerily simlar to the last game. Now I'm a favorite to end the match right here, but I blot quickly on the 6 point though and Neil hits the shot again and squeezes out the win to push it to DMP.

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 5, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 59: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 63

Neil Kazaross141


2X2X2X2X2X ' ' ' ' ' ' '

6O2X2X1X4O2O ' ' ' ' ' '

Matt Cohn-Geier38

Position ID: 2zYAQBs/vAEAAA Match ID: UQkvAVAAOAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves 6/off

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 6/off -0.093
0.453 0.270 0.014 - 0.547 0.000 0.000

I don't recall who wins the opening roll at DMP, but I roll a 31 to make the 5 and Neil rolls a 53 to make his 3. I split early on, and Neil jokers me to death and by the time he's bearing in I've only actually played maybe 3 moves at most.

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 7, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 28: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 61

Neil Kazaross86


1X2X2X2X2X3X ' ' ' '1X4O

' ' ' '2O4O '3O '1X '1X

Matt Cohn-Geier160

Position ID: bdtBEgCw5+ABYA Match ID: UQknAXAAOAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves bar/24*

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 bar/24* -0.650
0.175 0.030 0.001 - 0.825 0.597 0.020

I indicated early on that things weren't looking very good, but now that Neil's slotted the ace I say that it's down to do or die time. I do roll an ace, Neil rolls a 15 and comes in and hits me loose.

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 7, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 29: Neil Kazaross to play 51

Neil Kazaross110


1O2X2X2X2X3X ' ' ' '1X4O

' ' ' '2O4O '3O '1X '1X

Matt Cohn-Geier159

Position ID: sOfgAVC27SAJQA Match ID: EYEmAXAAOAAA

• Neil Kazaross moves bar/24 6/1*

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 bar/24 6/1* +0.690
0.845 0.663 0.017 - 0.155 0.035 0.002
2 2 bar/24 15/10 +0.647 ( -0.043)
0.824 0.567 0.017 - 0.176 0.027 0.001
3 2 bar/24 13/8 +0.629 ( -0.061)
0.814 0.576 0.018 - 0.186 0.032 0.001
4 2 bar/24 11/6 +0.602 ( -0.088)
0.801 0.563 0.019 - 0.199 0.035 0.001

I dance again. Neil rolls 63 and runs. And, of course, we all know what Blue's next roll was, right?

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 7, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 32: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 11

Neil Kazaross95


1X2X2X2X2X2X ' ' ' '1X4O

' ' ' '2O4O '3O '2X '1X

Matt Cohn-Geier160

Position ID: bdsgGQCw5+ABYA Match ID: UYkkAXAAOAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves bar/24*(2) 13/12* 8/7

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 bar/24*(2) 13/12* 8/7 -0.201
0.400 0.116 0.004 - 0.600 0.268 0.031
2 2 bar/24*(2) 13/12* 6/5 -0.211 ( -0.011)
0.394 0.115 0.004 - 0.606 0.262 0.027
3 2 bar/24*(2) 13/12*(2) -0.230 ( -0.030)
0.385 0.109 0.004 - 0.615 0.278 0.027
4 2 bar/24*(2) 13/12*/11 -0.247 ( -0.047)
0.376 0.108 0.004 - 0.624 0.269 0.027

I mean, with all the jokers that Neil got this game, I'm entitled to one of my own. Neil enters with one on the ace, and I misplay a 31:

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 7, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 34: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 31

Neil Kazaross130


2O2X2X2X2X2X ' ' ' '1X3O

1X ' ' '2O4O1O2O '2X '1O

Matt Cohn-Geier156

Position ID: tm0QBlCw19ABMA Match ID: UYklAXAAOAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves 12/9 7/6

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 12/9 8/7 -0.279
0.360 0.096 0.003 - 0.640 0.297 0.036
2 2 8/7 8/5 -0.325 ( -0.046)
0.337 0.087 0.003 - 0.663 0.294 0.030
3 2 12/9 6/5 -0.344 ( -0.065)
0.328 0.086 0.003 - 0.672 0.340 0.049
4 2 12/8 -0.347 ( -0.067)
0.327 0.082 0.003 - 0.673 0.297 0.032
• 5 2 12/9 7/6 -0.354 ( -0.075)
0.323 0.087 0.003 - 0.677 0.285 0.029

Of course I see that it's DMP and I don't care about getting gammoned, but I figure 5 shots is too much to give up even to win the game with my board in as bad shape as it is. I'd love to have the bar of course, but just the bar without the 4 point or the 8 point or the 9 point isn't going to be nearly enough, so I figure I should just try to get lucky and make some points and hold him with my ace point holding game. Still, making the bar looks better to me now, as I have some real chances to build a winning prime if he misses me, and he misses me 75% of the time. My play is pretty weak, I just figured safety first with his board the way it is. Lesson here is pay no heed to safety at DMP, although making the bar may be better even for money.

Neil comes in with a 46 which would have missed, escapes the other checker, and I slot and build a perfectly timed prime and wait for my shot.

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 7, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 57: Neil Kazaross to play 43

Neil Kazaross77


2O4X3X2X2X2X ' ' ' ' '2O

'2O2O3O2O2O ' ' '2X ' '

Matt Cohn-Geier118

Position ID: ttuAATDebQMYAA Match ID: EQEuAXAAOAAA

• Neil Kazaross moves 15/8

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 15/8 +0.228
0.614 0.151 0.005 - 0.386 0.086 0.003
2 2 6/3 6/2 +0.146 ( -0.082)
0.573 0.142 0.003 - 0.427 0.104 0.004

I noted all the reasons to pay now in my other post and it looked clear to me OTB. I hit with 21, Neil dances, I roll 64 and immediately play 24/14. I am running on adrenaline at this point and don't even look at other plays. Aces closes me out anyway, so I should go for the second checker to buy myself some more time to escape.

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 7, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 61: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 64

Neil Kazaross80


2O4X3X2X2X2X '1X ' ' '1O

'2O2O3O2O2O ' ' '1O ' '

Matt Cohn-Geier115

Position ID: 3m0TAEC22xABMA Match ID: UQkzAXAAOAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 24/18 13/9 +0.552
0.776 0.207 0.005 - 0.224 0.083 0.004
2 2 24/18 10/6 +0.544 ( -0.008)
0.772 0.202 0.005 - 0.228 0.077 0.003
3 2 24/14 +0.518 ( -0.034)
0.759 0.128 0.002 - 0.241 0.091 0.005

Neil comes in with an ace and safeties (I don't remember which ace), I roll 33 and butcher it, and again, don't even look for a second play:

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 7, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 62: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 33

Neil Kazaross76


1O4X3X2X3X2X ' ' ' '1O1O

1X2O2O3O2O2O ' ' '1O ' '

Matt Cohn-Geier105

Position ID: 3u0GACC22xAFIA Match ID: UYktAXAAOAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves 13/7 10/7 4/1*

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 14/11 13/7 10/7 +0.850
0.925 0.140 0.002 - 0.075 0.007 0.000
• 2 2 13/7 10/7 4/1* +0.790 ( -0.060)
0.895 0.120 0.002 - 0.105 0.021 0.001
3 2 10/1* 4/1 +0.757 ( -0.094)
0.878 0.055 0.000 - 0.122 0.023 0.001

Obviously moving the three in the outfield is better because Neil is cracking, if I would only look at the play. I never even glanced at 14/11. I don't care if it's only .06, it's still an awful, terrible play. It pays off for me though as I first close Neil out and then I roll an escaping 6. I'm not out of the woods yet, though:

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 7, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 64: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 43

Neil Kazaross77


'4X3X2X3X2X1O ' ' ' ' '

2O2O2O2O2O3O1O ' ' ' ' '

Matt Cohn-Geier73

Position ID: 3u0GAEDbtguAAA Match ID: UQkuAXAAOAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves 18/11

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 18/11 +0.889
0.944 0.036 0.000 - 0.056 0.002 0.000
2 2 18/14 7/4 +0.886 ( -0.002)
0.943 0.036 0.000 - 0.057 0.002 0.000
3 2 18/15 7/3 +0.884 ( -0.005)
0.942 0.033 0.000 - 0.058 0.002 0.000

I can't get anything to make boxes play, so I figure I'll come around and make the cleanup after boxes play as safely as possible, plus 5s play and 4s play. GNU evals it slightly better than 7/4. I would have really liked to have played 7/4 though, because I roll 51 next:

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 7, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 66: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 51

Neil Kazaross77


'4X3X2X3X2X ' ' ' ' ' '

2O2O2O2O2O3O1O ' ' '1O '

Matt Cohn-Geier66

Position ID: 3u0GAEDbtgsBAA Match ID: UYkmAXAAOAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves 11/5

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 11/5 +0.903
0.952 0.032 0.000 - 0.048 0.001 0.000
2 2 11/10 7/2 +0.900 ( -0.004)
0.950 0.030 0.000 - 0.050 0.001 0.000
3 2 7/2 6/5 +0.899 ( -0.004)
0.950 0.030 0.000 - 0.050 0.001 0.000

At which point Neil says to me, "good match", and I say "it's not over yet", although I would really like it if he resigned here. I roll 64 next and play 7/3 6/o, at which point my dice remember how good I am at rolling those nickels:

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil Kazaross 7, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 69: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 55

Neil Kazaross77


'4X3X2X3X2X ' ' ' ' ' '

2O2O3O2O3O2O ' ' ' ' ' '

Matt Cohn-Geier50

Position ID: 3u0GAEDb7QYAAA Match ID: UYk2AXAAOAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves 6/1(2) 5/off(2)

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 2 6/1(2) 5/off(2) +0.517
0.758 0.028 0.000 - 0.242 0.000 0.000
2 2 6/1 5/off(3) +0.477 ( -0.040)
0.739 0.042 0.000 - 0.261 0.000 0.000

Neil misses and it's finally over. I'm so wired after this match that I can't sleep. I end up eventually getting to sleep at around 3AM, and get enough rest to play well on Monday, but I still lose to Tim, who advances to beat Steve Brown in the finals.

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