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Containment 41..which is right ? Is Neil right ?

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 14 September 2008, at 6:47 p.m.

OTB and after some thought I made the bar pt here as containing White for a turn or two seems really critical and if I make the 5 pt, he can roll a winning 44 or 64. Normally this type is decision is a next..you make the 5 pt..normally but not always vs a lone checker.

GNU 2 ply narrowly favors making the 5 pt, while all other GNU plies make the bar. Snowie 3 ply hates the bar and has purchased a 2nd class ticket on the BK Express for me.

What's your play ? Rollout started.

The score (after 0 games) is: Opponent 0, neilkaz 0 (match to 5 points)

Move number 4: neilkaz to play 14


 '3X '2O4X3X '2X2X ' '1O

 ' '1X2O '3O '3O3O '1O '

Pip counts: Opponent 100, neilkaz 143
Position ID: jnc2AAiYcycBBg Match ID: cImwAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 9/5 6/5 +0.4478
0.6432 0.0991 0.0012 - 0.3568 0.0952 0.0024
2 2 11/7 8/7 +0.4441 ( -0.0037)
0.6493 0.0975 0.0011 - 0.3507 0.0962 0.0017
3 0 13/12 11/7 -0.1500 ( -0.5977)
0.4788 0.0745 0.0010 - 0.5212 0.1487 0.0031
4 0 13/12 9/5 -0.1545 ( -0.6023)
0.4857 0.0807 0.0013 - 0.5143 0.1747 0.0054
5 0 11/10 9/5 -0.1616 ( -0.6094)
0.4870 0.0810 0.0013 - 0.5130 0.1840 0.0060

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