Kit chose hitting two as the best play and the rollout clearly shows it's simply too close to call. I personally preferred making the defensive five point and bringing down the last builder from the midpoint duplicating my opponent's fours. (fours to anchor up, fours to hit) Kit's play does gain tempo but I feel with the other play there is no need for a tempo gain, there is a lot of game left to play and we have a solid position. This position is a standard gammons won v. gammons lost problem since there's only a slight edge in games won going to my play of choice.
| Stick (Green) vs. (White) |
                               | Pip: 155 | |
| Game 1 Money session Green-White: Score 0-0 | ||
| Pip: 174 |
| # | Ply | Move | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R | bar/21 13/5*/1* | 0.119 |
| 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.090 ±0.007. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 143273 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database. | |||
| 2 | R | bar/21 24/20(2) 13/9 | 0.118 (-0.001) |
| 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.087 ±0.007. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 144026 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database. |