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Don't pull a Stick on us

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Thursday, 22 March 2007, at 3:00 p.m.

In Response To: Was it really a clear cube? (DC-Ohio)

Obviously the stat sig isn't great...

That's the main point here. The j.s.d. is 0.054 so there's a 16% chance this is a cubeturn at least by 0.05, a 16% chance that it's a ND by at least 0.05. Etc.

So, what is your threshold for "barely a cube"?

Another way of looking at this result: you're 95% confident it's not a Whopper (>0.10 mistake) regardless of whether you cube or not. If staying out of Whopper territory is a person's goal then you can conclude this position satisfies that person's success criteria.

That's really about all you can say from this result.

Early game decisions require a lot of rollouts to get small standard errors.

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