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6-1 bearoff again: GNU and Snowie rollouts disagree

Posted By: aoleg1
Date: Monday, 13 April 2009, at 8:51 a.m.

Anton 10, Kabrus 14 (to 17 )

Move number 3: Kabrus to play 61

Anton	61
Kabrus	30
Position ID: 3zuCAAg7NwAAAA Match ID: cAknAqAAcAAA

2-ply GNU rollout

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	5/off 1/off	+1,080
			0,967 0,092 0,001 - 0,033 0,000 0,000 +1,027 +1,050 0,000 0,001 0,000 - 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,001 0,001
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 821721703 and quasi-random dice
			Play: ñóïåð 2-ply cubeful prune [ìèðîâîãî êëàññà]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0,32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [ìèðîâîãî êëàññà]
•	2	R	5/off 4/3*	+1,056 ( -0,024)
			0,899 0,162 0,002 - 0,101 0,000 0,000 +0,960 +1,026 0,001 0,001 0,000 - 0,001 0,000 0,000 0,001 0,002
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 821721703 and quasi-random dice
			Play: ñóïåð 2-ply cubeful prune [ìèðîâîãî êëàññà]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0,32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [ìèðîâîãî êëàññà]
	3	R	5/4 5/off	+1,055 ( -0,025)
			1,000 0,055 0,000 - 0,000 0,000 0,000 +1,054 +1,025 0,000 0,000 0,000 - 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 821721703 and quasi-random dice
			Play: ñóïåð 2-ply cubeful prune [ìèðîâîãî êëàññà]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0,32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [ìèðîâîãî êëàññà]

3-ply GNU rollout

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	5/off 1/off	+1,081
			0,967 0,092 0,001 - 0,033 0,000 0,000 +1,027 +1,051 0,000 0,000 0,000 - 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 821721703 and quasi-random dice
			Play: ìàñòåð 3-ply cubeful prune [ìàñòåð]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			keep the first 0 2-ply moves and up to 2 more moves within equity 0,04
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [ìèðîâîãî êëàññà]
	2	R	5/4 5/off	+1,055 ( -0,025)
			1,000 0,055 0,000 - 0,000 0,000 0,000 +1,054 +1,025 0,000 0,000 0,000 - 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 821721703 and quasi-random dice
			Play: ìàñòåð 3-ply cubeful prune [ìàñòåð]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			keep the first 0 2-ply moves and up to 2 more moves within equity 0,04
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [ìèðîâîãî êëàññà]
•	3	R	5/off 4/3*	+1,055 ( -0,026)
			0,898 0,160 0,002 - 0,102 0,000 0,000 +0,959 +1,025 0,000 0,000 0,000 - 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,001 0,001
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 821721703 and quasi-random dice
			Play: ìàñòåð 3-ply cubeful prune [ìàñòåð]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			keep the first 0 2-ply moves and up to 2 more moves within equity 0,04
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [ìèðîâîãî êëàññà]

Snowie 3-ply rollout

#	Ply	Move	Equity
1	R	5/off 4/3*	1,105
		Live cube rollout: 1,122
		95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0,973 ±0,008, - live cube: 1,122 ±0,011. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 32929 games), played 3-ply (standard), cube 3-ply, seed 98888, without race database.
2	R	5/off 1/off	1,091 (-0,013)
		Live cube rollout: 1,103
		95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 1,028 ±0,004, - live cube: 1,103 ±0,004. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games, played 3-ply (standard), cube 3-ply, seed 98888, without race database.
3	R	5/off 5/4	1,070 (-0,035)
		Live cube rollout: 1,069
		95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 1,056 ±0,001, - live cube: 1,069 ±0,002. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games, played 3-ply (standard), cube 3-ply, seed 98888, without race database.

This file has been generated bySnowie Professional Edition Version 4.7.1, a product of SnowieGroup SA
Output date: 12:50:38, 13.04.2009(Export v2.10)

Messages In This Thread

• 6-1 bearoff again: GNU and Snowie rollouts disagree
  aoleg1 -- Monday, 13 April 2009, at 8:51 a.m.
  • 6-1 bearoff again: GNU and Snowie rollouts disagree
    Peter G. -- Monday, 13 April 2009, at 9:15 a.m.
  • 6-1 bearoff again: GNU and Snowie rollouts disagree
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 14 April 2009, at 5:01 p.m.
    • difference in cube decisions is small
      aoleg1 -- Wednesday, 15 April 2009, at 11:25 a.m.
    • 6-1 bearoff again: GNU and Snowie rollouts disagree
      Frank_N_Stein -- Thursday, 16 April 2009, at 2:37 p.m.
      • 6-1 bearoff again: GNU and Snowie rollouts disagree
        aoleg1 -- Friday, 17 April 2009, at 8:30 a.m.