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GNU rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 27 May 2009, at 6:43 p.m.

In Response To: Critical Cube Decision -- Riles vs. Kazaross -- Chicago (Bill Riles)

This sure looked like an ideal time to send the cube at this score, so I did.

Bill scooped of course, but my 22 double hitter soon crushed him.

The score (after 0 games) is: Riles 11, neilkaz 10 (match to 13 points)

Move number 7: neilkaz on roll, cube decision?


 ' '2X '1O4X1O2X ' '2X2O

2O '1X '1X3O2O3O ' '1O3X

Pip counts: Riles 149, neilkaz 133
Position ID: jGfMAQmD25FBAg Match ID: cAmgAbAAUAAA

• neilkaz doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.2569(Money: +0.1709)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.6568
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.3432
3.No double +0.5187 -0.1381
Proper cube action:Double, take
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.56380.21570.0134-0.43620.16010.0258 +0.2569 +0.5187
Standard error0.00240.00260.0026-0.00240.00710.0049 0.0069 0.0133
Player Riles owns 2-cube0.56050.23550.0172-0.43950.18840.0427 +0.6568 +0.6568
Standard error0.00270.00300.0032-0.00270.00890.0060 0.0163 0.0163
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
625 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 858865536 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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