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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 28 November 2006, at 7:16 a.m.

In Response To: 42P-51S-42? (Stick)

I'll let the results speak for themselves as I'm too worn out to analyze all 6 plays. The best play is the most *natural* play and for once it seems it's right.

Money Game
161
161
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/20 13/11 0.133
0.7% 15.4% 53.3% 46.7% 12.3% 0.5%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.099 ±0.006. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 177933 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
2 R 13/11 6/2* 0.123 (-0.010)
0.9% 17.3% 52.9% 47.1% 13.9% 0.9%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.091 ±0.007. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 153384 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
3 R 24/22 13/9 0.116 (-0.017)
0.7% 16.2% 52.8% 47.2% 13.1% 0.6%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.088 ±0.006. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 168289 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
4 R 24/20 6/4 0.109 (-0.024)
0.7% 15.2% 52.7% 47.3% 12.6% 0.6%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.081 ±0.006. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 172777 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
5 R 13/9 13/11 0.109 (-0.025)
0.8% 17.0% 52.3% 47.7% 13.2% 0.9%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.082 ±0.006. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 161691 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
6 R 24/18 0.106 (-0.027)
0.6% 13.9% 53.2% 46.8% 12.9% 0.5%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.076 ±0.006. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 178353 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.

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