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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 29 November 2006, at 4:33 a.m.

In Response To: Othello Quiz #3 (Stick)

The clear play is 13/8 13/9 for reasons Black Swan described. This only leaves 2-1 & 1-1 as double hitting numbers and even then you still have the blot on the six to shoot at immediately along with simply entering where White is in a world of hurt.

Money Game
62
84
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 13/8 13/9 0.378
1.0% 16.9% 66.3% 33.7% 1.2% 0.0%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.492 ±0.021. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 108 games (equiv. 8899 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
2 R 13/4 0.250 (-0.128)
0.5% 13.5% 62.3% 37.7% 0.7% 0.0%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.380 ±0.026. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 108 games (equiv. 7157 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
3 R 16/12 13/8 0.160 (-0.218)
0.6% 13.5% 60.0% 40.0% 3.3% 0.0%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.307 ±0.034. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 108 games (equiv. 4748 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
4 R 16/11 13/9 0.156 (-0.222)
0.9% 14.0% 59.1% 40.9% 2.8% 0.0%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.304 ±0.034. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 108 games (equiv. 5264 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.

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