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To hit or not to hit?

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Friday, 20 November 2009, at 1:42 p.m.

In Response To: To hit or not to hit? (Timothy Chow)

I like the obvious 13/8 10/6 which gives Blue fine winning and gammon chances, regardless if White enters or not. Hitting with either 10/1x or 6/1x 10/6 gives you some extra g's when it goes dance/cover but it gives White too many chances to turn this game around. There's the 31 and D1 semi-jokers, the 1x-fan-White enters sequence, and the fan-no cover-White hits sequence. That's quite a few extra wins for White some of which are gammons. White doesn't have the timing for a 1-3 backgame so it's not real urgent for Blue to keep White from making the 24-point. Just make the prime and wait for a more convenient time to attack on the 1-point.

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