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FIBS 2009/11/18 #1 (rollout)

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Friday, 20 November 2009, at 8:55 p.m.

In Response To: FIBS 2009/11/18 #1 (Jason Lee)

White (7-away)	120
Blue (7-away)	118
Position ID: s7khATBsNw0DQA Match ID: cAngAAAAAAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.373	(Money: +0.368)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.545
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.455
3.	No double	+0.475	-0.070
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.647 0.211 0.017 - 0.353 0.150 0.004 +0.373 +0.475 Standard error 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.004 Player White (7-away) owns 2-cube 0.650 0.212 0.018 - 0.350 0.150 0.005 +0.783 +0.545 Standard error 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.003 0.005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
7776 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 841813330 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

This is one of those cubes that I miss while playing not because I'm forgetting to consider doubling (what a sin that would be), but because I don't look deeply enough. I'm on the roof, I'm trying to come in on a four point board, and I lose sight of the fact that I've got complete outfield control, and I have six numbers that hit, all of which will be devastating. Also, even if I dance, I still have solid control of the position.

JLee

Messages In This Thread

• FIBS 2009/11/18 #1
  Jason Lee -- Thursday, 19 November 2009, at 6:06 p.m.
  • FIBS 2009/11/18 #1 (rollout)
    Jason Lee -- Friday, 20 November 2009, at 8:55 p.m.