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Money game cube action

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Saturday, 21 November 2009, at 4:24 p.m.

In Response To: Money game cube action (Timothy Chow)

Looks like a recube since it's not at all clear that White can take and there are lots of market-losing sequences on tap like PoH, hit loose-miss (or White's entering 5s), or no hit-followed by 54,51, or 41. Blue needs to send it over and let White decide whether to take or not. Can White take this? It looks close. Blue's numbers fall into 3 categories: Non-hitters (12), PoH (9), and loose hits (15). I'll give White 4.5, 1, and 3.5 wins in these for a total of 9/36. How about gammons? I think around 30% of White's wins will be g's vs around 20% of Blue's. Using these figures and allowing for recube vig, it looks like a close take for White. R/T.

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