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Long Strong XG RO of 41$11

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 24 November 2009, at 1:54 a.m.

In Response To: Long Strong XG RO of 41$11 (neilkaz)

Thanks, Neil, for sharing the long strong XG rollout result of 41$-11.

The money data that I have or know about for 41$-11 so far is:

BotMargin#Trials Moves, CubeNotes
Snowie 22.0 31k 3-ply, 3-ply
Snowie 21.2 41k 3-ply, 3-ply Cube-adj. (Janowski)
GNU 22.3 11k 4-ply, 4-ply Roller: Neil Kaz
GNU -3.5 46k 3-ply, 3-ply At bgonline site
XG 9.8 36k 3-ply, 4-ply Roller: Neil Kaz
XG 10.0 62k 3-ply, 3-ply Roller: Ken Bame

All results are with a live cube except in the second Snowie row (as noted). The number in the margin column is the number of thousandths by which Hitting (24/20*) beats Near (8/7(2) 6/5(2); e.g., "22.0" means that Hitting beats Near by .022, and "-3.5" means that Hitting loses to Near by .0035.

In my table, "Gnu 3-ply" is really Gnu 2-ply, but it is the same depth that the other bots call 3-ply. The depth-of ply is underlined as a reminder. [If this proves to be an unpopular convention, in future tables I'll revert to the traditional (inconsistent) way to list Gnu ply.]

In the first of the two Gnu rows, was your rollout really 3-ply, 3-ply (what I'm calling 4-ply, 4-ply)? I'm going only by vague recall, as I seem unable to find your post in the bgonline archives.

Both XG margins are text-reported to three decimal places as 10 (i.e., .010), but these are rounded. Your equities are .146 and .137 (hence my shaving from 10 to a guessed 9.8 margin) and Ken's are .150 and .140 (hence no better guess than 10).

[I also jotted down a while back an XG rollout result with rounded equities of .144 and .136 (yielding a margin of .007) after 28,944 trials. I don’t remember the source, so I can’t verify the strength of the settings.]

Nack

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