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BGonline.org Forums
DMP 22 roll
Posted By: Nack Ballard In Response To: DMP 22 roll (Chuck Bower)
Date: Tuesday, 24 November 2009, at 6:47 p.m.
I join some of the others in preferring e (each, 24/20 6/4(2) at this score; immediate shot equity seems to trump other concerns. Another DMP play I like here that is a bit more balanced and I didn't see mentioned is M (Mayfair split, 24/22 11/9 6/4(2)).
In truth, I got interested in this for two reasons. The first is that I initially misinterpreted your reference to 2-point matches and thought this might be -2-2 with the (forgotten) cube still in the center. I wondered if Blue should take after his best play! I'm inclined to think he should, but I'm curious if others would (at 2-away 2-away).
The second reason I got interested is that White's last roll (to reach the board position) wasn't obvious to me. My guess is that White had a blot on her 17pt and she rolled 54 moving it to her 8pt, or perhaps she rolled 43 or 52 moving it to her 10pt.
However, if running with 54 (17/8) was White's last play, what was Blue's roll and play to reach the previous position? I'm speculating it was 65, running from the roof. If so, Bar/20 11/5 (better control, while duplicating 3s) looks like it would have been better but not by much.
For fun, I attempted to reconstruct the game. My guess is
65R-62S-63D-21D-64Z-31P-51D-61P-43H-65R-54R-22
For clarity, White had the opening roll, the underlined rolls are Blue's, and 22 is the twelfth roll.
[Translated to traditional notation, the sequence is 65: 24/13, 62: 24/18 13/11, 63: 13/10 13/7*, 21: Bar/24 13/11, 64: 24/20 13/7, 31: 8/5* 6/5, 51: Bar/24 13/8, 61: 13/7 8/7, 43: 24/17*, 65: Bar/14, 54: 17/8, 22: (to play)]
The ninth roll of 43 (which hits) could just as easily be 61 or 52 (interchangeable). All moves for both sides are strong (if not best) except perhaps Blue's last play with 65.
Can you please tell me: is that what happened, Chuck?
Best of luck in your DMP studies.
Nack
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