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Another "hit or not?" problem

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 1 December 2009, at 1:44 a.m.

In Response To: Another "hit or not?" problem (KenB)

I finally got around to rolling this one out. GNU thinks that hitting is even clearer in your position, but probably only because Blue is further behind in the race. If we adjust the position so that the race is the same as in my original position, then hitting becomes TCTC.

gnubg	90
tchow	94
Position ID: s90UJAA1dw4MAA Match ID: QQkPAAAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	14/11* 8/2	-0.018
			0.559 0.169 0.005 - 0.441 0.230 0.011 +0.050 -0.018 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.003 0.005
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 842022722 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	8/5 8/2	-0.089 ( -0.072)
			0.537 0.007 0.000 - 0.463 0.018 0.001 +0.063 -0.089 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.001 0.002
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 842022722 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

With the race adjusted:

gnubg	93
tchow	94
Position ID: s20lJAA1dw4MAA Match ID: QQkPAAAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	8/5 8/2	+0.030
			0.587 0.006 0.000 - 0.413 0.011 0.000 +0.170 +0.030 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.001 0.002
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 842844259 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	14/11* 8/2	+0.026 ( -0.004)
			0.566 0.198 0.007 - 0.434 0.230 0.011 +0.096 +0.026 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.004 0.004
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 842844259 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	8/2 6/3	+0.025 ( -0.005)
			0.585 0.007 0.000 - 0.415 0.013 0.000 +0.164 +0.025 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.001 0.002
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 842844259 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Another "hit or not?" problem
  Timothy Chow -- Friday, 20 November 2009, at 3:06 p.m.
  • Another "hit or not?" problem
    David -- Friday, 20 November 2009, at 3:16 p.m.
    • Another "hit or not?" problem
      neilkaz -- Friday, 20 November 2009, at 6:13 p.m.
  • Another "hit or not?" problem
    KenB -- Friday, 20 November 2009, at 9:44 p.m.
    • Another "hit or not?" problem
      Frank_N_Stein -- Sunday, 22 November 2009, at 6:42 p.m.
      • Another "hit or not?" problem
        Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 22 November 2009, at 7:24 p.m.
        • I see it now .. NM *NM*
          Frank_N_Stein -- Sunday, 22 November 2009, at 9:30 p.m.
    • Another "hit or not?" problem
      Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 1 December 2009, at 1:44 a.m.
  • Rollout
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 21 November 2009, at 5:14 p.m.