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BGonline.org Forums
Too good to double
Posted By: John O'Hagan In Response To: Too good to double (Timothy Chow)
Date: Tuesday, 1 December 2009, at 5:17 a.m.
I think you just play safe (9/3 7/5) with the idea of continuing to play on/cashing if White dances/enters. 12/6 and 9/7 has the dnside of being hit with D4 and very little (if any) upside. Your gammon chances aren't that great here - only around 15% or so and I'm pretty sure your losing chances are well over half that when White enters which makes cashing correct.
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