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Drifting in space

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 13 December 2009, at 4:00 a.m.

From that same SHG match where I wished I'd played better. (XG PR of 3.1 isn't as good as I desire to play, although I don't hate it). Here we see me underestimate my game at this score. One cube error is followed by another.. a common issue for many players.

Just in case, I am rolling out all 3 positions overnight and will post if anything changes.




is cubehead

score: 6
pip: 131
11 point match
pip: 154
score: 2

is neilkaz
XGID=--aaBBB-B---bD-bAb-bB-bc--:0:0:1:00:2:6:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 65.83% (G: 19.53% B: 0.91%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 34.17% (G: 7.80% B: 0.21%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.433
Double:+0.925
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.811 (-0.045)
Double/Take:+0.856
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.144)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.10, MET: GnuBG 11 point





is cubehead

score: 6
pip: 128
11 point match
pip: 156
score: 2

is neilkaz
XGID=--aaBBC-B---bC--ac-bB-bc-A:0:0:1:00:2:6:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 65.45% (G: 21.43% B: 1.15%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 34.55% (G: 9.45% B: 0.29%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.429
Double:+0.945
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.774 (-0.114)
Double/Take:+0.888
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.112)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.10, MET: GnuBG 11 point





is cubehead

score: 6
pip: 131
11 point match
pip: 148
score: 2

is neilkaz
XGID=a-aABBB-B---bC--ac-bC-bc--:0:0:1:00:2:6:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 76.16% (G: 32.86% B: 2.30%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.84% (G: 5.94% B: 0.19%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.797
Double:+1.703
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+1.076
Double/Take:+1.652 (+0.576)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (-0.076)
Best Cube action: Too Good to Double / Drop

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.10, MET: GnuBG 11 point

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