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OTB and short rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 16 December 2009, at 12:11 a.m.

In Response To: OTB and short rollout (Timothy Chow)

Some combination of the factors below may explain your 41S-65R-43 [P @11] 1k result.

(1) I mentioned there were a couple of exceptions to the useful go-with-distribution guideline (for 41S-xxx-43 and 43Z-xxx-41). 41S-65R-43 may be one of those exceptions (and it would be surprising, as Opp rolled her biggest number that makes no offensive point).
(2) A .011 margin is almost tied, and there is a lot of variance in 1k (1296 trials). [Extending could move the margin in either direction, of course.]
(3) Paul's rollouts may have been truncated. Full results could yield something a little different.

I lost a lot of data in a computer crash a few years ago. The 41S-xxx-43 and 43Z-xxx-43 rollouts Paul sent me and his article were among the casualties. I hope he can dig up one of the other from his own archives.

Nack

Messages In This Thread

• Money game: 41S-65R-43
  Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 15 December 2009, at 12:04 a.m.
  • Money game: 41S-65R-43
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 15 December 2009, at 12:23 a.m.
  • Money game: 41S-65R-43
    Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 15 December 2009, at 12:44 a.m.
  • Money game: 41S-65R-43
    Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 15 December 2009, at 2:44 a.m.
    • Money game: 41S-65R-43
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 15 December 2009, at 3:34 a.m.
    • Money game: 41S-65R-43
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 15 December 2009, at 3:16 p.m.
  • Money game: 41S-65R-43
    David -- Tuesday, 15 December 2009, at 3:21 a.m.
  • Money game: 41S-65R-43
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 15 December 2009, at 3:11 p.m.
  • OTB and short rollout
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 15 December 2009, at 9:55 p.m.
    • OTB and short rollout
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 16 December 2009, at 12:11 a.m.
      • OTB and short rollout
        Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 16 December 2009, at 7:28 p.m.
    • It would be nice if you have time to lengthen this..maybe to 10k *NM*
      neilkaz -- Wednesday, 16 December 2009, at 8:26 p.m.
    • XG RO?
      onur alan -- Monday, 9 December 2013, at 10:07 p.m.
      • 41S-65R-43 RO
        David Rockwell -- Monday, 9 December 2013, at 11:40 p.m.
        • Other moves where P is correct
          David Rockwell -- Monday, 9 December 2013, at 11:49 p.m.
          • 41S-51S-43 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
            Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 10 December 2013, at 4:45 a.m.
      • 41S-65R-43 — Unlimited Games — XG2 Rollout
        Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 10 December 2013, at 4:23 a.m.