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hit or run?

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 21 December 2009, at 7:11 p.m.

In Response To: hit or run? (TheProdigy)

At DMP, I'm having trouble making up my mind whether R or H is better. However, this is different from DMP in that (a) getting gammoned costs a free drop, and (b) getting backgammoned costs the match.

It probably doesn't add up to much, but I'll let (a) and (b) break my mental tie and go with R (Run, 20/15).

After Blue plays R, if White rolls a 3, too bad, but sometimes (after losing her 7pt) she'll have to re-break the anchor by running with a 6 (solving Blue's problem for him), and even if White rolls a 3 first she might have to break with a 6 before she rolls the other 3. Even if she rolls two 3s, Blue is still a solid favorite to win the game.

Blue's hitting and subsequently covering is a huge gain for Blue (even though winning a gammon doesn't count extra), but if White hits back Blue has to face the aforementioned problems minus the 9pt as well as the additional problems of fanning and White gaining some outfield control as he perhaps splits with an ace or moves another checker into Blue's 4pt gap.

Nack

Messages In This Thread

• hit or run?
  TheProdigy -- Monday, 21 December 2009, at 3:00 a.m.
  • hit or run?
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 21 December 2009, at 5:29 a.m.
  • hit or run?
    Chuck Bower -- Monday, 21 December 2009, at 5:49 p.m.
  • hit or run?
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 21 December 2009, at 6:14 p.m.
  • hit or run?
    Nack Ballard -- Monday, 21 December 2009, at 7:11 p.m.
  • hit or run?
    Rich Munitz -- Monday, 21 December 2009, at 10:59 p.m.