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hit or run?

Posted By: Rich Munitz
Date: Monday, 21 December 2009, at 10:59 p.m.

In Response To: hit or run? (TheProdigy)

I would not hit here.

The question I ask myself here is if I was told by an oracle that white was going to anchor if I run and hit back from the roof if I hit, which would I choose? Which is the lesser evil? I would rather white anchor than hit me. I can attack later. Or perhaps white will crash. Or perhaps white will roll a 6 and want to come out but will now be greeted by my checker in the outfield. Or perhaps white will only succeed in getting one of the two checkers from the 24 point to the 21 point and will be forced off the anchor with a 6. I just don't see any major crisis if white anchors, and no huge urgency to prevent it. Bring a builder around and then attack. Or roll a number to make the 4 point naturally. I pay later.

20/15

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