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Cube this one? - ROLLOUT - another
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: Cube this one? - ROLLOUT (Keene)
Date: Tuesday, 22 December 2009, at 3:11 p.m.
Similar result.
The score (after 0 games) is: White 1, Blue 5 (match to 11 points)
Move number 3: Blue on roll, cube decision?
White 99
Blue 96 Position ID: 6+wJAAyN2w0RAA Match ID: cAlgARAAKAAA
• Blue doubles
Alert: wrong double ( -0.0139)! [doubtful]
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.4974 (Money: +0.4985) Cubeful equities: 1. No double +0.8687 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.1313 3. Double, take +0.8548 -0.0139 Proper cube action: No double, take (9.6%) Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7318 0.0478 0.0010 - 0.2682 0.0137 0.0002 +0.4974 +0.8687 Standard error 0.0009 0.0011 0.0001 - 0.0009 0.0007 0.0000 0.0020 0.0052 Player White owns 2-cube 0.7330 0.0496 0.0012 - 0.2670 0.0153 0.0002 +1.1066 +0.8548 Standard error 0.0010 0.0013 0.0001 - 0.0010 0.0006 0.0000 0.0047 0.0061 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 840450450 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Annotation
Cube analysis
0-ply cubeless equity +0.4660 (Money: +0.4590)
0.7174 0.0458 0.0002 - 0.2826 0.0217 0.0001
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.7137
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.2863)
3. No double +0.6551 ( -0.0586)
Proper cube action: Double, take
Cube analysis
1-ply cubeless equity +0.4903 (Money: +0.4822)
0.7229 0.0504 0.0003 - 0.2771 0.0142 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.7751
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.2249)
3. No double +0.6887 ( -0.0864)
Proper cube action: Double, take
Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.4787 (Money: +0.4712)
0.7205 0.0479 0.0006 - 0.2795 0.0181 0.0001
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.7777
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.2223)
3. Double, take +0.7509 ( -0.0267)
Proper cube action: No double, take (10.7%)
Cube analysis
3-ply cubeless equity +0.4970 (Money: +0.4892)
0.7268 0.0492 0.0005 - 0.2732 0.0140 0.0001
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.8158
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.1842)
3. Double, take +0.7967 ( -0.0191)
Proper cube action: No double, take (9.4%)
Cube analysis
4-ply cubeless equity +0.4870 (Money: +0.4791)
0.7226 0.0503 0.0009 - 0.2774 0.0171 0.0001
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.7977
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.2023)
3. Double, take +0.7744 ( -0.0233)
Proper cube action: No double, take (10.3%)
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