[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Cube this one? - ROLLOUT - another

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Tuesday, 22 December 2009, at 3:11 p.m.

In Response To: Cube this one? - ROLLOUT (Keene)

Similar result.

The score (after 0 games) is: White 1, Blue 5 (match to 11 points)

Move number 3: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White99


2X1X3X '2X4X '1X '1O ' '

1O2O2X '3O2O3O2O ' ' '1O

Blue96

Position ID: 6+wJAAyN2w0RAA Match ID: cAlgARAAKAAA

• Blue doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0139)! [doubtful]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.4974(Money: +0.4985)
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.8687
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.1313
3.Double, take +0.8548 -0.0139
Proper cube action:No double, take (9.6%)
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.73180.04780.0010-0.26820.01370.0002 +0.4974 +0.8687
Standard error0.00090.00110.0001-0.00090.00070.0000 0.0020 0.0052
Player White owns 2-cube0.73300.04960.0012-0.26700.01530.0002 +1.1066 +0.8548
Standard error0.00100.00130.0001-0.00100.00060.0000 0.0047 0.0061
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 840450450 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]


Annotation

Cube analysis
0-ply cubeless equity +0.4660 (Money: +0.4590)
0.7174 0.0458 0.0002 - 0.2826 0.0217 0.0001
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.7137
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.2863)
3. No double +0.6551 ( -0.0586)
Proper cube action: Double, take

Cube analysis
1-ply cubeless equity +0.4903 (Money: +0.4822)
0.7229 0.0504 0.0003 - 0.2771 0.0142 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.7751
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.2249)
3. No double +0.6887 ( -0.0864)
Proper cube action: Double, take

Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.4787 (Money: +0.4712)
0.7205 0.0479 0.0006 - 0.2795 0.0181 0.0001
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.7777
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.2223)
3. Double, take +0.7509 ( -0.0267)
Proper cube action: No double, take (10.7%)

Cube analysis
3-ply cubeless equity +0.4970 (Money: +0.4892)
0.7268 0.0492 0.0005 - 0.2732 0.0140 0.0001
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.8158
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.1842)
3. Double, take +0.7967 ( -0.0191)
Proper cube action: No double, take (9.4%)

Cube analysis
4-ply cubeless equity +0.4870 (Money: +0.4791)
0.7226 0.0503 0.0009 - 0.2774 0.0171 0.0001
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.7977
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.2023)
3. Double, take +0.7744 ( -0.0233)
Proper cube action: No double, take (10.3%)

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response

Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:

 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.