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BGonline.org Forums
Test OLM Tu 12/22/09 Cube
Posted By: Chuck Bower In Response To: Test OLM Tu 12/22/09 Cube (Jason Lee)
Date: Wednesday, 23 December 2009, at 2:44 a.m.
I think we need to win 22% cubeless to take this. Note that White's nine misses are broken down 6-6, 4-4, 3-3, 6-3 (all which clear the midpoint) and 6-4 and 4-3 which keep the midpoint (but then we aren't out of the woods). I think White at worst has a $-take after all of these. Say we collect 6 cubeless wins out of these 9 misses. Can we win two of the 27 times we're hit -- about 7%, cubeless? Probably not with our crunched board.
Seems like it could be close, although I think I was optimistic counting 6 cubeless wins when missed.
I pass.
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