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Its gone South. ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Wednesday, 23 December 2009, at 4:27 a.m.

In Response To: Its gone South. (Keene)

I worried about the ace point problem at the time, and figured if I roll 2 aces, I am toast. Although, I strongly expect that it would be correct for me to take it, playing vs Neil. I still dont mind passing though, it feels like its a 'take your pick' situation, even with the ELO difference.

	is neilkaz score: 1 pip: 22 11 point match pip: 27 score: 5 is baa_kilted
XGID=-ADA-C--------------a-bdc-:1:-1:-1:00:5:1:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	74.11% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	25.89% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	74.11% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	25.89% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:	+0.482
Redouble:	+1.073
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:	+0.771 (-0.229)
Redouble/Take:	+1.064 (+0.064)
Redouble/Drop:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Redouble:	± 0.002 (+0.769...+0.773)
Confidence Redouble:	± 0.002 (+1.062...+1.066)
Double Decision confidence:	100.0%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 1.3 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.11, MET: GnuBG 11 point

Messages In This Thread

• Its gone South.
  Keene -- Sunday, 20 December 2009, at 4:38 a.m.
  • Its gone South.
    John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 20 December 2009, at 5:07 a.m.
    • Its gone South.
      Stick -- Sunday, 20 December 2009, at 1:18 p.m.
      • Its gone South.
        John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 20 December 2009, at 4:18 p.m.
  • Its gone South.
    Stick -- Sunday, 20 December 2009, at 1:28 p.m.
    • Its gone South.
      Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 20 December 2009, at 3:33 p.m.
      • Some Bot Info
        Stick -- Sunday, 20 December 2009, at 4:06 p.m.
  • Its gone South. ROLLOUT
    Keene -- Wednesday, 23 December 2009, at 4:27 a.m.
    • Its gone South. ROLLOUT
      Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 23 December 2009, at 5:08 a.m.
    • Its gone South. ROLLOUT
      Stick -- Wednesday, 23 December 2009, at 10:18 a.m.