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BGonline.org Forums
Its gone South. ROLLOUT
Posted By: Keene In Response To: Its gone South. (Keene)
Date: Wednesday, 23 December 2009, at 4:27 a.m.
I worried about the ace point problem at the time, and figured if I roll 2 aces, I am toast. Although, I strongly expect that it would be correct for me to take it, playing vs Neil. I still dont mind passing though, it feels like its a 'take your pick' situation, even with the ELO difference.
is neilkaz
score: 1
pip: 2211 point match pip: 27
score: 5
is baa_kiltedXGID=-ADA-C--------------a-bdc-:1:-1:-1:00:5:1:0:11:10 on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No Double Player Winning Chances: 74.11% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 25.89% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 74.11% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 25.89% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) Cubeless Equities No Redouble: +0.482 Redouble: +1.073 Cubeful Equities No Redouble: +0.771 (-0.229) Redouble/Take: +1.064 (+0.064) Redouble/Drop: +1.000 Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 4 plyConfidence No Redouble: ± 0.002 (+0.769...+0.773) Confidence Redouble: ± 0.002 (+1.062...+1.066) Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 1.3 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.11, MET: GnuBG 11 point
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