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15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Sunday, 27 December 2009, at 2:52 p.m.

In Response To: 15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43 (Timothy Chow)

Evaluations "might sometimes" be better than any kind of rollout, too.

If someone ignores the statistical uncertainties of a full rollout, who are they fooling?

Truncated rollouts trade statistical uncertainties for systematic uncertainties, the latter which are nearly impossible to quantify. Why should that make one feel better about truncated rollouts?

I believe it has been argued that due to dependency between candidates in rollouts that the 'j.s.d.' value is OVER-stated. If I got the sign right, that's much better than understated.

Messages In This Thread

• 15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43
  Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 27 December 2009, at 12:23 a.m.
  • 15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43
    Leonardo Jerkovic -- Sunday, 27 December 2009, at 12:34 a.m.
  • 15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43
    Stick -- Sunday, 27 December 2009, at 12:41 a.m.
    • 15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43
      neilkaz -- Sunday, 27 December 2009, at 1:03 a.m.
    • 15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 27 December 2009, at 2:08 a.m.
  • 15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43
    Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 27 December 2009, at 1:38 a.m.
    • 15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 27 December 2009, at 2:02 a.m.
      • there are lies,
        garyo -- Sunday, 27 December 2009, at 4:00 a.m.
        • rollouts make an assumption
          garyo -- Monday, 28 December 2009, at 3:09 a.m.
      • 15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43
        Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 27 December 2009, at 2:52 p.m.
        • 15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43
          Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 27 December 2009, at 6:47 p.m.
          • 15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43
            Rich Munitz -- Sunday, 27 December 2009, at 7:12 p.m.
          • 15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43
            Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 27 December 2009, at 7:25 p.m.
          • 15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43
            Chuck Bower -- Monday, 28 December 2009, at 2:14 p.m.
            • 15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43
              Timothy Chow -- Monday, 28 December 2009, at 7:33 p.m.
              • 15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43
                Maik Stiebler -- Tuesday, 29 December 2009, at 8:45 a.m.
          • 15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43
            Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 1:57 a.m.
        • 15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43
          Tom Keith -- Sunday, 27 December 2009, at 6:57 p.m.
    • 15552-game rollout of 41Z-65R-43
      Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 29 December 2009, at 12:58 a.m.
    • 41S-65R-43
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 1:06 a.m.
      • 41S-65R-43
        Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 1:53 a.m.
        • 41S-65R-43
          Stick -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 3:30 a.m.