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41S-21 RO

Posted By: David Rockwell
Date: Thursday, 31 December 2009, at 4:40 p.m.

In Response To: 41S-21 RO (Nack Ballard)

My main purpose here was to check GNU's sometimes questionable handling of slotting positions.

So, we have XG 3-ply with [S U17 $19] - 28k

Stick's MWC GNU shows [S $11 U17] - 46k

I also have Supremo GNU with [S U15 $19] - 5k

And Snowie 3-ply is - [S $24] - 15k

I also checked cubeless equities for $ for all rollouts. XG & Supremo are almost identical. MWC showed $ better by .0027 cubless compared to XG $. (Snowie agrees with MWC GNU.) So, most of the disparity is in the cube, as it usually is. I'm inclined to believe that GNU is overvaluing the slot, but not by much. So, we can conclude that GNU rollouts at DMP and GG probably are correct in recommending $.

I expect that GNU is also overvaluing $ by a similar amount for 51S-21. If true, then U would be better than $ by a small amount. 51S-21.d would probably be U rather than $ based on 51S-21.d [$ U1.0 S22] - 5k. (I'm not sure I understand why U would be preferred after 51S and $ after 41S at DMP. I am more inclined to slot vs four on the eight point.) And, 51S-21.g would remain $.

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