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Rollout

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Sunday, 3 January 2010, at 4:04 p.m.

In Response To: Ya gotta finish the job (Chuck Bower)

No (anti-)QF here, but I'm glad you think I might pull that. I want to keep all of you on your toes, just like REAL backgammon.

(Note I didn't roll out 20/15, 3/1 as its close to 20/15, 4/2. If the latter had come out on top I would have rolled out the variant.)

The score (after 0 games) is: JellyFish 0, Player2 0

Move number 27: Player2 to play 25


 '3X2X '1O3X2X2X ' ' '2O

2O2O3O3O2OÂ 'Â 'Â 'Â 'Â 'Â '2X

Pip counts: JellyFish 111, Player2 83
Position ID: btwGA0Db3QADAg Match ID: QwkVAAAAAAAA

• Player2 moves 20/15 13/11

Alert: bad move ( -0.054)

# Ply Move Equity
 1 R 20/13 +0.8366
Â
0.85340.19700.0004-0.14660.01130.0003 +0.8926 +0.8366
0.00160.00320.0011-0.00160.00080.0001 0.0038 0.0048
 Â
 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. Â
 562 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 840345860 and quasi-random dice Â
 Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Â
 keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Â
 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Â
 Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Â
• 2 R 20/15 13/11 +0.7821 ( -0.0544)
Â
0.82130.23440.0012-0.17870.02830.0015 +0.8484 +0.7821
0.00180.00350.0002-0.00180.00100.0003 0.0041 0.0050
 Â
 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. Â
 562 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 840345860 and quasi-random dice Â
 Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Â
 keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Â
 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Â
 Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Â
 3 R 20/15 4/2 +0.7737 ( -0.0629)
Â
0.82770.20140.0007-0.17230.01900.0005 +0.8379 +0.7737
0.00280.00590.0003-0.00280.00180.0001 0.0074 0.0089
 Â
 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. Â
 180 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 840345860 and quasi-random dice Â
 Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Â
 keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Â
 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Â
 Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Â
 4 R 13/11 13/8 +0.7080 ( -0.1286)
Â
0.79650.23500.0007-0.20350.02870.0014 +0.7985 +0.7080
0.00370.00640.0003-0.00370.00260.0005 0.0088 0.0121
 Â
 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. Â
 144 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 840345860 and quasi-random dice Â
 Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Â
 keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Â
 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Â
 Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Â
 5 R 13/6 +0.4581 ( -0.3785)
Â
0.70800.21280.0013-0.29200.05310.0026 +0.5745 +0.4581
0.00320.00590.0003-0.00320.00440.0007 0.0091 0.0132
 Â
 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. Â
 144 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 840345860 and quasi-random dice Â
 Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Â
 keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Â
 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Â
 Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Â
 6 2 20/15 3/1 +0.8152 ( -0.0213)
 0.8278 0.2359 0.0007 - 0.1722 0.0180 0.0004 Â
 7 2 13/8 4/2 +0.6906 ( -0.1460)
 0.7840 0.2353 0.0010 - 0.2160 0.0358 0.0010 Â
 8 2 13/8 3/1 +0.6845 ( -0.1521)
 0.7807 0.2381 0.0010 - 0.2193 0.0372 0.0011 Â
 9 0 20/15 5/3 +0.1783 ( -0.6583)
 0.6280 0.1516 0.0006 - 0.3720 0.1016 0.0019 Â
 10 0 13/8 5/3 -0.0845 ( -0.9211)
 0.5458 0.1426 0.0007 - 0.4542 0.1561 0.0090 Â

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