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XG rollouts

Posted By: Petter Bengtsson
Date: Monday, 11 January 2010, at 1:46 p.m.

In Response To: Money game: Blue to play 2-1 (Timothy Chow)

First rollout is the posted position.
Second rollout has a spare moved from midpoint to 8-point.
Third rollout has a spare moved from midpoint to 6-point.

is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 142

Money session

pip: 137 score: 0 is Player 1

XGID=-aB-a-D-B---dEB-a--bbbb---:0:0:1:12:0:0:0:0:8

to play 12

1.	Rollout1	13/10	eq: -0,353
	Player: Opponent: 42,71% (G:5,38% B:0,24%) 57,29% (G:20,77% B:0,57%) Conf: ± 0,024 (-0,377...-0,329) Duration: 45 minutes 40 seconds
2.	Rollout1	6/3	eq: -0,468 (-0,115)
	Player: Opponent: 40,40% (G:6,29% B:0,26%) 59,60% (G:25,22% B:0,82%) Conf: ± 0,024 (-0,492...-0,444) Duration: 40 minutes 15 seconds
3.	Rollout1	6/4* 4/3	eq: -0,504 (-0,151)
	Player: Opponent: 39,49% (G:7,23% B:0,32%) 60,51% (G:27,35% B:1,04%) Conf: ± 0,050 (-0,554...-0,454) Duration: 1 hour 01 minute 30 seconds
4.	Rollout1	14/11	eq: -0,506 (-0,154)
	Player: Opponent: 39,05% (G:4,88% B:0,28%) 60,95% (G:24,20% B:0,95%) Conf: ± 0,041 (-0,547...-0,465) Duration: 52 minutes 53 seconds
1 324 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 84745752 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.11

	is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 142 Money session pip: 132 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=-aB-a-D-C---dDB-a--bbbb---:0:0:1:12:0:0:0:0:8
to play 12

1.	Rollout1	13/10	eq: -0,243
	Player: Opponent: 45,33% (G:5,52% B:0,22%) 54,67% (G:18,64% B:0,57%) Conf: ± 0,015 (-0,258...-0,228) Duration: 2 hours 19 minutes 58 seconds
2.	Rollout1	6/3	eq: -0,276 (-0,033)
	Player: Opponent: 44,85% (G:7,19% B:0,32%) 55,15% (G:20,94% B:0,63%) Conf: ± 0,014 (-0,290...-0,262) Duration: 1 hour 54 minutes 01 second
3.	Rollout2	14/13 8/6	eq: -0,327 (-0,084)
	Player: Opponent: 42,94% (G:6,63% B:0,27%) 57,06% (G:21,41% B:0,58%) Conf: ± 0,024 (-0,351...-0,303) Duration: 32 minutes 10 seconds
4.	Rollout2	6/4* 4/3	eq: -0,351 (-0,108)
	Player: Opponent: 43,28% (G:8,25% B:0,35%) 56,72% (G:23,09% B:0,71%) Conf: ± 0,027 (-0,378...-0,324) Duration: 32 minutes 31 seconds
5.	Rollout2	14/11	eq: -0,361 (-0,118)
	Player: Opponent: 42,51% (G:5,28% B:0,26%) 57,49% (G:20,99% B:0,61%) Conf: ± 0,024 (-0,385...-0,337) Duration: 31 minutes 59 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 84745752 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply 2 324 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 84745752 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.11

is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 142

Money session

pip: 130 score: 0 is Player 1

XGID=-aB-a-E-B---dDB-a--bbbb---:0:0:1:12:0:0:0:0:8

to play 12

1.	Rollout1	6/3	eq: -0,265
	Player: Opponent: 44,76% (G:7,81% B:0,33%) 55,24% (G:20,95% B:0,65%) Conf: ± 0,010 (-0,275...-0,255) Duration: 2 hours 42 minutes 20 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/10	eq: -0,293 (-0,028)
	Player: Opponent: 44,24% (G:6,42% B:0,27%) 55,76% (G:20,04% B:0,66%) Conf: ± 0,012 (-0,305...-0,281) Duration: 3 hours 17 minutes 00 second
3.	Rollout2	6/4* 4/3	eq: -0,359 (-0,094)
	Player: Opponent: 43,51% (G:8,74% B:0,33%) 56,49% (G:23,24% B:0,87%) Conf: ± 0,030 (-0,389...-0,329) Duration: 38 minutes 16 seconds
4.	Rollout2	14/11	eq: -0,383 (-0,118)
	Player: Opponent: 41,59% (G:6,15% B:0,27%) 58,41% (G:21,75% B:0,66%) Conf: ± 0,026 (-0,409...-0,357) Duration: 40 minutes 45 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 84745752 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply 2 324 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 84745752 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.11

Messages In This Thread

• Money game: Blue to play 2-1
  Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 9 January 2010, at 8:32 p.m.
  • Money game: Blue to play 2-1
    Ian Shaw -- Saturday, 9 January 2010, at 11:02 p.m.
    • Money game: Blue to play 2-1
      TheProdigy -- Sunday, 10 January 2010, at 2:01 a.m.
  • Money game: Blue to play 2-1
    Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 10 January 2010, at 3:04 a.m.
  • Money game: Blue to play 2-1
    Seth -- Sunday, 10 January 2010, at 5:48 a.m.
  • 64P-42P-64R-43Z-64R-33A-21
    Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 10 January 2010, at 3:27 p.m.
    • 64P-42P-64R-43Z-64R-33A-21
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 10 January 2010, at 6:24 p.m.
    • "Distribution is pivotal"?
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 10 January 2010, at 7:38 p.m.
      • "Distribution is pivotal"?
        Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 10 January 2010, at 11:49 p.m.
  • XG rollouts
    Petter Bengtsson -- Monday, 11 January 2010, at 1:46 p.m.
  • GNU rollouts (of 2 positions)
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 11 January 2010, at 3:27 p.m.