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Challenge Extended

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Sunday, 17 January 2010, at 3:10 p.m.

In Response To: Challenge Extended (svilo)

I think longer rollouts are useless as the position is very volatile.

Why would a position being volatile make longer rollouts useless?

Burial keeps about even chances while nervous runnimg surrenders about .250 equity

Perhaps according to your Snowie minirollouts. But according to Stick's rollouts, the burying play's equity is far from even -- about -0.481 -- and is only about 0.012 better than running, with 95% confidence intervals of about ±0.023.

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