[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Rollout -- another

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Friday, 22 January 2010, at 1:56 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Timothy Chow)

3-ply cube.

Money game

Move number 5: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White150


 ' ' '2X1X3X '2X1O2X2X2O

 ' ' '1X2X5O2O3O2O ' ' '

Blue128

Position ID: WGc2gAXg2w0jAA Match ID: cAkAAEAAEAAA

Blue doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0053)! [bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.5004
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.8622
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.1378
3.Double, take +0.8569 -0.0053
Proper cube action:No double, take (3.7%)
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.72780.07790.0033-0.27220.03530.0011 +0.5004 +0.8622
Standard error0.00130.00150.0003-0.00130.00110.0002 0.0032 0.0093
Player White owns 2-cube0.73090.07980.0032-0.26910.03650.0013 +1.0139 +0.8569
Standard error0.00140.00170.0003-0.00140.00110.0002 0.0072 0.0147
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 845183267 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]


Annotation

Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.4263
0.6966 0.0755 0.0011 - 0.3034 0.0426 0.0008
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.6876
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.3124)
3. Double, take +0.6464 ( -0.0413)
Proper cube action: No double, take (11.7%)

Cube analysis
3-ply cubeless equity +0.4389
0.7044 0.0677 0.0014 - 0.2956 0.0383 0.0006
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.7126
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.2874)
3. Double, take +0.6752 ( -0.0374)
Proper cube action: No double, take (11.5%)

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response

Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:

 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.