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Bot content ("View statistics")

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 22 January 2010, at 5:14 p.m.

In Response To: QF Part Deux (Matt Cohn-Geier)

Since cube efficiency is very relevant here I thought I would "View statistics." I only had the patience to do a 0-ply rollout for money, so the numbers below should be taken with a grain of salt, but I think they're still instructive.

9/4(2) 6/1*(2) 20/10(2)
--------------------------------- --------------------------------- ---------------------------------
wins 1 pt 47% 6%
wins 2 pts 18% 43%
wins 4 pts 13% 19%
--------------------------------- --------------------------------- ---------------------------------
loses 1 pt 0% 0%
loses 2 pts 12% 20%
loses 4 pts 7% 9%

(There were some backgammons and wins/losses of 8 or more points, but I've omitted them from the above table for simplicity.)

After 20/10(2), the initial double gets accepted 94% of the time, while after 9/4(2) 6/1*(2), the initial double gets accepted only 53% of the time. This big increase in effective gammons won more than offsets the increase in 2-point and 4-point losses.

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