Stick called it. "You can't always believe what you see, stat. sig or otherwise. You're going to tell us 2/1 2/off wins the rollout, we're going to tell you it's not because XG is incorrectly splitting off the anchor with some aces on 3 ply on its next roll. Of course if it splits we'd rather not be blotted on the ace point. Splitting is wrong, 2/off 1/off is still right in the original position"
So now I say, would incorrect splits also occuring more often after 2/0 1/0 than 5/4 6/4 possibly mean that the 4 point is correct?

              
    
              
 | is XG Roller+
score: 4 pip: 54 | 5 point match | pip: 105 score: 2
is UBK | |
XGID=-BABBBC--------A---dd-Bdb-:1:-1:-1:21:2:4:0:5:10 |
to play 21 |
1. | Rollout1 | 2/1 2/0ff | eq: +0.784 |
| Player: Opponent: | 89.21% (G:26.25% B:0.40%) 10.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.781...+0.787) Duration: 12 minutes 08 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 2/0ff 1/0ff | eq: +0.777 (-0.007) |
| Player: Opponent: | 88.86% (G:28.00% B:0.60%) 11.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.774...+0.780) Duration: 11 minutes 55 seconds |
|
3. | Rollout1 | 6/5 2/0ff | eq: +0.771 (-0.013) |
| Player: Opponent: | 88.57% (G:26.24% B:0.40%) 11.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.768...+0.774) Duration: 23 minutes 38 seconds |
|
4. | Rollout1 | 6/4 5/4 | eq: +0.761 (-0.023) |
| Player: Opponent: | 88.07% (G:17.31% B:0.12%) 11.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.758...+0.764) Duration: 22 minutes 18 seconds |
|
5. | 2 ply | 5/2 | eq: +0.633 (-0.151) |
| Player: Opponent: | 81.66% (G:9.68% B:0.15%) 18.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
|
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.12, MET: eXtremeGammon